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FINAL · ABC · COTTON BOWL
TEXTexas
244-1 · 1-1 SEC
24
FINAL
OUOklahoma
273-2 · 1-1 SEC
27
OU +7.5 COVEROVER 40.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP OU 35%→POSTGAME WE OU 56%
Cotton Bowl · 92,100
Postgame WE
56%OU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.26TEX −0.10
Success rate
36%TEX 37%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 6.6 pts swing
vs model
−3proj TEX by 6.5
Plays · pace
119proj 133 · 30.3s

Win probability · full game

OU LOW 8% · Q2 2:00 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.8

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Oklahoma
    Spetic 53-yd FG no good
    (02:00) #44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 53 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc), clock 01:54
    Q4 2:00 · 4th & 2 OU 35 · −2.7 TEX EPA
    Q4 2:00 · 4th & 2 OU 35 · −2.7 TEX EPA
    +.44
  2. 2Oklahoma
    Sandell 47-yd FG good
    Tate Sandell 47 Yd Field Goal
    Q4 0:00 · 2nd & 12 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +2.6 EPA
    Q4 0:00 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +2.6 EPA
    +.39
  3. 3Oklahoma
    Bowen 42-yd pick-six off Manning
    No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #22 P.Bowen at UT42 #22 P.Bowen return 42 yards to the UT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:07 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)
    Q4 10:07 · 2nd & 13 · 17–17 → 24–17 · −6.6 TEX EPA
    Q4 10:07 · 17–17 → 24–17 · −6.6 TEX EPA
    +.32
  4. 4Texas
    Manning 15-yd TD to Bishop
    Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #4 J.Bishop Jr. caught at OU04, for 15 yards to the OU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:32, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) PENALTY #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) PENALTY OU Leverage (#34 A.Adebawore) 15 yards from OU00 to UT50
    Q4 6:32 · 2nd & 6 · 24–17 → 24–24 · +2.3 EPA
    Q4 6:32 · 24–17 → 24–24 · +2.3 EPA
    −.23
  5. 5Oklahoma
    Mateer 20-yd pass to Sategna
    (00:15) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep right to #1 I.Sategna III caught at UT28, for 20 yards to the UT28 (#29 G.Littleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
    Q4 0:15 · 1st & 10 TEX 48 · +1.5 EPA
    Q4 0:15 · 1st & 10 TEX 48 · +1.5 EPA
    +.20

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 119 plays