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FINAL · ESPN+ · PEDEN STADIUM
CMUCentral Michigan
143-3 · 1-1 MAC
14
FINAL
OHIOOhio
314-2 · 2-0 MAC
31
OHIO −2.5 COVERUNDER 45.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP OHIO 59%→POSTGAME WE OHIO 83%
Peden Stadium · 21,368
Postgame WE
83%OHIO · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.07CMU −0.15
Success rate
55%CMU 40%
Turnovers
2–0≈ 9.7 pts swing
vs model
+17proj OHIO by 3.6
Plays · pace
122proj 119 · 29.5s

Win probability · full game

OHIO LOW 51% · Q1 15:00 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Ohio
    Brune 23-yd TD run
    No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 23 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:01, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #52 N.Hemer) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation 5 yards from CMU03 to CMU08. NO PLAY
    Q1 11:01 · 3rd & 3 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.4 EPA
    Q1 11:01 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.4 EPA
    +.10
  2. 2Central Michigan
    Flores 14-yd pass to Lewis
    Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at Ohio45, for 14 yards to the Ohio43 (#20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 11:01 · 3rd & 7 CMU 43 · +2.7 EPA
    Q1 11:01 · 3rd & 7 CMU 43 · +2.7 EPA
    −.07
  3. 3Ohio
    Flores run, −1
    Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 1 yard loss to the Ohio35 (#9 T.Gillison; #98 D.Reagans), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q1 5:37 · 4th & 1 OHIO 34 · −3.8 CMU EPA
    Q1 5:37 · 4th & 1 OHIO 34 · −3.8 CMU EPA
    +.07
  4. 4Ohio
    Molnar sacks Flores, −2
    Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CMU35 (#25 M.Molnar), fumble by #7 A.Flores recovered by Ohio #99 T.Neubert at CMU35, End Of Play
    Q2 9:30 · 1st & 10 CMU 37 · −5.2 CMU EPA
    Q2 9:30 · 1st & 10 CMU 37 · −5.2 CMU EPA
    +.06
  5. 5Ohio
    Pass Interference on CMU
    No Huddle-Shotgun #8 N.Poulos pass intercepted by #4 J.Jackson at Ohio47 QB hurried by #40 B.McCalla #4 J.Jackson return 13 yards to the Ohio34 (#12 E.Pugh), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#4 J.Jackson) 11 yard from Ohio34 to Ohio45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q1 15:00 · 3rd & 6 OHIO 34 · +2.2 EPA
    Q1 15:00 · 3rd & 6 OHIO 34 · +2.2 EPA
    +.06

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 122 plays