

DUKEDuke
254-1 · 1-1 ACCFINAL


GTGeorgia Tech
282-3 · 1-1 ACCGT +4.5 COVEROVER 45.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP GT 37%→POSTGAME WE GT 58%
Bobby Dodd Stadium · 46,432- Postgame WE
- 58%GT · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.26DUKE +0.20
- Success rate
- 46%DUKE 41%
- Turnovers
- 0–0
- vs model
- −3proj DUKE by 5.5
- Plays · pace
- 131proj 131 · 27.5s
Win probability · full game
GT LOW 26% · Q4 1:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.2Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Eget 42-yd pass to Sheppard(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DU 38, for 42 yards to the GT 23 (#6 K.Hill), 1ST DOWNQ4 0:41 · 1st & 10 DUKE 35 · +2.2 EPAQ4 0:41 · 1st & 10 DUKE 35 · +2.2 EPA−.35 - 2

Strange 33-yd FG no good(00:08) #25 G.Strange field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates), clock 00:04Q4 0:08 · 4th & 3 GT 16 · −2.1 DUKE EPAQ4 0:08 · 4th & 3 GT 16 · −2.1 DUKE EPA+.31 - 3

Mendoza 14-yd pass to Allen(01:04) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #4 J.Allen caught at DU 01, for 14 yards to the DU 01 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWNQ4 1:04 · 2nd & 7 DUKE 15 · +2.3 EPAQ4 1:04 · 2nd & 7 DUKE 15 · +2.3 EPA+.28 - 4

Eget 8-yd TD to Richardson(03:25) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #17 J.Richardson caught at GT 01, for 8 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:18, 1ST DOWN #6 J.Burton pass attempt SuccessfulQ3 3:25 · 3rd & Goal · 21–10 → 21–18 · +3.0 EPAQ3 3:25 · 21–10 → 21–18 · +3.0 EPA−.21 - 5

Eget incomplete(00:11) No Huddle #2 W.Eget pass incomplete, SpikeQ4 0:11 · 2nd & 3 GT 16 · −1.1 DUKE EPAQ4 0:11 · 2nd & 3 GT 16 · −1.1 DUKE EPA+.17
Player EPA
Total · game

Nate Sheppard · RB27 CAR · 99 YDS · 2 TD · 7 REC · 91 REC YDS+12.5
Alberto Mendoza · QB23/30 · 218 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT+9.3
Jordan Allen · WR10 REC · 99 YDS · 1 TD+9.1
Trelain Maddox · RB10 CAR · 81 YDS · 3 TD · 2 REC · 8 REC YDS+6.2
Jeremiah Hasley · TE6 REC · 39 YDS+4.0
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 418 | 383 |
| Plays | 77 | 57 |
| Yards / play | 5.4 | 6.7 |
| EPA / play | +0.20 | +0.26 |
| Success rate | 41% | 46% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 7 |
| Havoc rate | 9% | 8% |
| 3rd down | 10–17 | 4–10 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.57 | 3.00 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 35:26 | 24:34 |
| Postgame WE | 42% | 58% |

