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FINAL · ESPN2 · BOBBY DODD STADIUM
DUKEDuke
254-1 · 1-1 ACC
25
FINAL
GTGeorgia Tech
282-3 · 1-1 ACC
28
GT +4.5 COVEROVER 45.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP GT 37%→POSTGAME WE GT 58%
Bobby Dodd Stadium · 46,432
Postgame WE
58%GT · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.26DUKE +0.20
Success rate
46%DUKE 41%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
−3proj DUKE by 5.5
Plays · pace
131proj 131 · 27.5s

Win probability · full game

GT LOW 26% · Q4 1:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.2

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Duke
    Eget 42-yd pass to Sheppard
    (00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DU 38, for 42 yards to the GT 23 (#6 K.Hill), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 0:41 · 1st & 10 DUKE 35 · +2.2 EPA
    Q4 0:41 · 1st & 10 DUKE 35 · +2.2 EPA
    −.35
  2. 2Georgia Tech
    Strange 33-yd FG no good
    (00:08) #25 G.Strange field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates), clock 00:04
    Q4 0:08 · 4th & 3 GT 16 · −2.1 DUKE EPA
    Q4 0:08 · 4th & 3 GT 16 · −2.1 DUKE EPA
    +.31
  3. 3Georgia Tech
    Mendoza 14-yd pass to Allen
    (01:04) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #4 J.Allen caught at DU 01, for 14 yards to the DU 01 (#8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 1:04 · 2nd & 7 DUKE 15 · +2.3 EPA
    Q4 1:04 · 2nd & 7 DUKE 15 · +2.3 EPA
    +.28
  4. 4Duke
    Eget 8-yd TD to Richardson
    (03:25) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #17 J.Richardson caught at GT 01, for 8 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:18, 1ST DOWN #6 J.Burton pass attempt Successful
    Q3 3:25 · 3rd & Goal · 21–10 → 21–18 · +3.0 EPA
    Q3 3:25 · 21–10 → 21–18 · +3.0 EPA
    −.21
  5. 5Georgia Tech
    Eget incomplete
    (00:11) No Huddle #2 W.Eget pass incomplete, Spike
    Q4 0:11 · 2nd & 3 GT 16 · −1.1 DUKE EPA
    Q4 0:11 · 2nd & 3 GT 16 · −1.1 DUKE EPA
    +.17

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Duke at Georgia Tech
StatDUKEGT
Total yards418383
Plays7757
Yards / play5.46.7
EPA / play+0.20+0.26
Success rate41%46%
Explosive plays67
Havoc rate9%8%
3rd down10–174–10
Pts / opportunity3.573.00
Turnovers00
Time of possession35:2624:34
Postgame WE42%58%