

HOUHouston
355-1 · 2-1 Big 12FINAL


KSUKansas State
163-2 · 0-2 Big 12HOU +2.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP HOU 55%→POSTGAME WE HOU 87%
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · 51,569- Postgame WE
- 87%HOU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.36KSU +0.02
- Success rate
- 47%KSU 48%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 3.8 pts swing
- vs model
- +19proj HOU by 2.2
- Plays · pace
- 133proj 141 · 27.1s
Win probability · full game
HOU LOW 51% · Q1 11:31 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.6Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Dimas 34-yd FG no good(03:56) #49 J.Dimas field goal attempt from 34 yards NO GOOD (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards), clock 03:53Q1 3:56 · 4th & 6 KSU 16 · −3.0 HOU EPAQ1 3:56 · 4th & 6 KSU 16 · −3.0 HOU EPA−.08 - 2

Young 40-yd run(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Young rush right for 40 yards gain to the KSTATE20 (#0 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNQ1 6:03 · 1st & 10 HOU 40 · +2.8 EPAQ1 6:03 · 1st & 10 HOU 40 · +2.8 EPA+.08 - 3

Johnson incomplete to Tibbs, broken up by Mayo(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to HOU03 broken up by #2 J.MayoQ1 0:08 · 3rd & 6 HOU 11 · −2.1 KSU EPAQ1 0:08 · 3rd & 6 HOU 11 · −2.1 KSU EPA+.08 - 4

Weigman 36-yd pass to Young(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at KSTATE01, for 36 yards to the KSTATE01 (#25 Z.Rich), 1ST DOWNQ1 11:30 · 3rd & 9 KSU 37 · +5.0 EPAQ1 11:30 · 3rd & 9 KSU 37 · +5.0 EPA+.07 - 5

Weigman 12-yd pass to Overmyer(14:59) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer caught at HOU29, for 12 yards to the HOU37 (#0 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 HOU 25 · +1.2 EPAQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 HOU 25 · +1.2 EPA+.06
Player EPA
Total · game

Conner Weigman · QB19/30 · 242 YDS · 4 TD · 0 INT · 21 RUSH YDS+24.6
Patrick Overmyer · TE8 REC · 83 YDS · 4 TD+9.4
Koby Young · WR2 REC · 40 YDS · 40 RUSH YDS+7.0
Garrett Oakley · TE3 REC · 49 YDS · 1 TD+4.9
Joe Jackson · RB4 CAR · 6 YDS · 2 REC · 13 REC YDS−4.7

