UCLAUCLA
175-0 · 3-0 Big TenFINAL
OREOregon
153-2 · 1-1 Big TenUCLA +10 COVERUNDER 57.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UCLA 40%→POSTGAME WE UCLA 48%
Autzen Stadium · 59,262- Postgame WE
- 48%UCLA · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.30ORE −0.50
- Success rate
- 34%ORE 28%
- Turnovers
- 2–5≈ 5.6 pts swing
- vs model
- −2proj ORE by 4.0
- Plays · pace
- 131proj 135 · 27.5s
Win probability · full game
UCLA LOW 13% · Q2 13:28 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Raiola 7-yd pass to Stewart, fumble lost(06:40) #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #7 E.Stewart caught at ORE23, for 7 yards to the ORE33 fumbled by #7 E.Stewart at ORE31 forced by #1 S.Jackson recovered by UCL #9 J.Woods at ORE33, End Of PlayQ3 6:40 · 2nd & 6 ORE 26 · −4.1 ORE EPAQ3 6:40 · 2nd & 6 ORE 26 · −4.1 ORE EPA+.22 - 2
Thomas pass complete short middle to E.Stewart caught at UCL42 for 44 yards to the UCL00 TOUCHDOWN clock 02:16 1ST DOWN B.Thomas 2-pt run fails(02:26) Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass complete short middle to #7 E.Stewart caught at UCL42, for 44 yards to the UCL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:16, 1ST DOWN #12 B.Thomas rush attempt failed #12 B.Thomas rush attempt failed PENALTY UCL Face Mask #12 B.Thomas rush attempt failed PENALTY UCL Face Mask (#10 S.Omosigho) #12 B.Thomas rush attempt failed PENALTY UCL Face Mask (#10 S.Omosigho) 2 yards from UCL03 to UCL01. NO PLAYQ4 2:26 · 2nd & 10 · 17–9 → 17–15 · +5.2 EPAQ4 2:26 · 17–9 → 17–15 · +5.2 EPA−.18 - 3Johnson intercepts Raiola(01:31) #8 D.Raiola pass intercepted by #6 T.Johnson at ORE33, End Of PlayQ3 1:31 · 2nd & 3 ORE 10 · −4.5 ORE EPAQ3 1:31 · 2nd & 3 ORE 10 · −4.5 ORE EPA+.16
- 4Thomas 30-yd pass to Stewart, fumble lost(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass complete short right to #7 E.Stewart caught at ORE40, for 30 yards to the UCL33 lateral to #9 J.Johnson for 7 yards gain to the UCL33 fumbled by #9 J.Johnson at UCL33 recovered by UCL #21 D.Lovett at UCL33, End Of PlayQ4 0:04 · 4th & 10 ORE 37 · +0.1 ORE EPAQ4 0:04 · 4th & 10 ORE 37 · +0.1 ORE EPA+.14
- 5Mixon intercepts Iamaleava(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 N.Iamaleava pass intercepted by #6 J.Mixon at ORE38 #6 J.Mixon return 2 yards to the ORE40, End Of PlayQ2 1:17 · 1st & 10 50 · −3.3 UCLA EPAQ2 1:17 · 1st & 10 50 · −3.3 UCLA EPA−.13
Player EPA
Total · game
- Anthony Sacca · LB1 SACK · 1 TFL · FF · 2 TKL+5.1
- Semaj Morgan · WR5 REC · 55 YDS+4.7
- Jordon Davison · RB13 CAR · 41 YDS · 1 TD · 1 REC · -2 REC YDS−9.9
- Nico Iamaleava · QB10/17 · 162 YDS · 2 INT · FUM · 1 SACK−14.8
- Dylan Raiola · QB6/19 · 43 YDS · 2 INT · FUM · 1 SACK−25.7
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | UCLA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 345 | 272 |
| Plays | 70 | 62 |
| Yards / play | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| EPA / play | −0.30 | −0.50 |
| Success rate | 34% | 28% |
| Explosive plays | 6 | 6 |
| Havoc rate | 30% | 17% |
| 3rd down | 4–16 | 1–13 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.55 | 0.90 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 5 |
| Time of possession | 39:15 | 20:45 |
| Postgame WE | 48% | 52% |