Buffalo vs Toledo

BUFFBuffalo

233-3 · 1-1 MAC

FINAL

TOLToledo

84-2 · 1-1 MAC

BUFF +18.5 COVERUNDER 54.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP BUFF 8%→POSTGAME WE BUFF 89%

Glass Bowl · 24,767

Win probability · full game

BUFF LOW 10% · Q1 14:29 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Hautanen 31-yd FG good
(09:54) #31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 09:52
Q3 9:54 · 4th & Goal · 13–0 → 16–0 · +0.8 EPA
Q3 9:54 · 13–0 → 16–0 · +0.8 EPA
+.20
2
Burch 87-yd TD run
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 M.Burch rush right for 87 yards gain to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)
Q4 4:43 · 1st & 10 · 16–8 → 23–8 · +6.8 EPA
Q4 4:43 · 16–8 → 23–8 · +6.8 EPA
+.19
3
Walendzak 1-yd TD run
(04:45) No Huddle #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFFAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #3 A.Dabbs pass attempt Successful
Q4 4:45 · 4th & Goal · 16–0 → 16–8 · +2.8 EPA
Q4 4:45 · 16–0 → 16–8 · +2.8 EPA
−.17
4
Meincke 38-yd punt
(04:01) #47 M.Meincke punt 38 yards to the BUFFAL38 fair catch by #6 M.Greer at BUFFAL38
Q2 4:01 · 4th & 11 TOL 24 · +0.3 EPA
Q2 4:01 · 4th & 11 TOL 24 · +0.3 EPA
−.14
5
Vessah sacks Richter, −2
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TOLEDO38 (#15 S.Vessah), fumble by #6 J.Richter recovered by BUFFAL #1 S.Brown at TOLEDO38, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
Q3 13:35 · 1st & 15 TOL 36 · −4.8 TOL EPA
Q3 13:35 · 1st & 15 TOL 36 · −4.8 TOL EPA
+.14

Total · game