

MISSOle Miss
524-1 · 2-1 SECFINAL


VANVanderbilt
173-3 · 0-3 SECMISS −9.5 COVEROVER 54.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP MISS 54%→POSTGAME WE MISS 88%
FirstBank Stadium · 35,000- Postgame WE
- 88%MISS · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.33VAN −0.04
- Success rate
- 55%VAN 40%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 4.1 pts swing
- vs model
- +35proj MISS by 1.6
- Plays · pace
- 137proj 129 · 26.3s
Win probability · full game
MISS LOW 71% · Q1 14:37 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.7Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Curtis 27-yd pass to Spence(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #16 C.Spence caught at OM15, for 27 yards to the OM06 (#7 S.Denson; #2 J.Braxton), 1ST DOWNQ1 8:46 · 2nd & 17 MISS 33 · +2.9 EPAQ1 8:46 · 2nd & 17 MISS 33 · +2.9 EPA−.09 - 2

Perkins sacks Curtis, −10(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis sacked for loss of 10 yards to the OM27 (#4 S.Perkins)Q1 7:51 · 3rd & Goal MISS 17 · −1.2 VAN EPAQ1 7:51 · 3rd & Goal MISS 17 · −1.2 VAN EPA+.06 - 3

Curtis 34-yd pass to Thomas(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep left to #6 J.Thomas caught at OM30, for 34 yards to the OM26, out of bounds at OM26, 1ST DOWNQ1 10:05 · 1st & 10 VAN 40 · +2.4 EPAQ1 10:05 · 1st & 10 VAN 40 · +2.4 EPA−.05 - 4

Alexander 7-yd punt return(12:30) #37 T.Ebel punt 59 yards to the OM18 #1 D.Alexander return 7 yards to the OM25, out of bounds at OM25Q1 12:30 · 4th & 7 VAN 23 · +1.7 EPAQ1 12:30 · 4th & 7 VAN 23 · +1.7 EPA−.04 - 5

Chambliss 14-yd pass to Fields(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at OM42, for 14 yards to the OM41, out of bounds at OM41, 1ST DOWNQ1 11:54 · 2nd & 8 MISS 27 · +2.2 EPAQ1 11:54 · 2nd & 8 MISS 27 · +2.2 EPA+.04
Player EPA
Total · game

Trinidad Chambliss · QB20/30 · 213 YDS · 3 TD · 1 INT · 5 RUSH YDS+14.3
Ja'Cory Thomas · WR3 REC · 60 YDS · 1 TD+8.2
Deuce Alexander · WR5 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD+5.8
Junior Sherrill · WR5 REC · 55 YDS+5.1
Antonio Kite · CBINT · PBU · 4 TKL+4.9
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 409 | 343 |
| Plays | 65 | 74 |
| Yards / play | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| EPA / play | +0.33 | −0.04 |
| Success rate | 55% | 40% |
| Explosive plays | 7 | 7 |
| Havoc rate | 21% | 12% |
| 3rd down | 5–12 | 9–17 |
| Pts / opportunity | 4.09 | 1.70 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 26:04 | 33:56 |
| Postgame WE | 88% | 12% |

