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FINAL · ESPN · FIRSTBANK STADIUM
MISSOle Miss
524-1 · 2-1 SEC
52
FINAL
VANVanderbilt
173-3 · 0-3 SEC
17
MISS −9.5 COVEROVER 54.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP MISS 54%→POSTGAME WE MISS 88%
FirstBank Stadium · 35,000
Postgame WE
88%MISS · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.33VAN −0.04
Success rate
55%VAN 40%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 4.1 pts swing
vs model
+35proj MISS by 1.6
Plays · pace
137proj 129 · 26.3s

Win probability · full game

MISS LOW 71% · Q1 14:37 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Vanderbilt
    Curtis 27-yd pass to Spence
    (08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #16 C.Spence caught at OM15, for 27 yards to the OM06 (#7 S.Denson; #2 J.Braxton), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 8:46 · 2nd & 17 MISS 33 · +2.9 EPA
    Q1 8:46 · 2nd & 17 MISS 33 · +2.9 EPA
    −.09
  2. 2Ole Miss
    Perkins sacks Curtis, −10
    (07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis sacked for loss of 10 yards to the OM27 (#4 S.Perkins)
    Q1 7:51 · 3rd & Goal MISS 17 · −1.2 VAN EPA
    Q1 7:51 · 3rd & Goal MISS 17 · −1.2 VAN EPA
    +.06
  3. 3Vanderbilt
    Curtis 34-yd pass to Thomas
    (10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep left to #6 J.Thomas caught at OM30, for 34 yards to the OM26, out of bounds at OM26, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 10:05 · 1st & 10 VAN 40 · +2.4 EPA
    Q1 10:05 · 1st & 10 VAN 40 · +2.4 EPA
    −.05
  4. 4Vanderbilt
    Alexander 7-yd punt return
    (12:30) #37 T.Ebel punt 59 yards to the OM18 #1 D.Alexander return 7 yards to the OM25, out of bounds at OM25
    Q1 12:30 · 4th & 7 VAN 23 · +1.7 EPA
    Q1 12:30 · 4th & 7 VAN 23 · +1.7 EPA
    −.04
  5. 5Ole Miss
    Chambliss 14-yd pass to Fields
    (11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at OM42, for 14 yards to the OM41, out of bounds at OM41, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 11:54 · 2nd & 8 MISS 27 · +2.2 EPA
    Q1 11:54 · 2nd & 8 MISS 27 · +2.2 EPA
    +.04

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
StatMISSVAN
Total yards409343
Plays6574
Yards / play6.34.6
EPA / play+0.33−0.04
Success rate55%40%
Explosive plays77
Havoc rate21%12%
3rd down5–129–17
Pts / opportunity4.091.70
Turnovers01
Time of possession26:0433:56
Postgame WE88%12%