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FINAL · NBC · NOTRE DAME STADIUM
STANStanford
72-4 · 1-3 ACC
7
FINAL
NDNotre Dame
586-0 · 0-0 Independents
58
ND −40.5 COVEROVER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP ND 97%→POSTGAME WE ND 100%
Notre Dame Stadium · 77,622
Postgame WE
100%ND · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.57STAN −0.39
Success rate
60%STAN 25%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 3.5 pts swing
vs model
+51proj ND by 32.0
Plays · pace
116proj 130 · 31.0s

Win probability · full game

ND LOW 100% · Q1 11:43 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 1.8

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Notre Dame
    Flintoft 46-yd punt
    (00:56) #37 A.Flintoft punt 46 yards to the UND01
    Q1 0:56 · 4th & 10 ND 47 · +1.0 STAN EPA
    Q1 0:56 · 4th & 10 ND 47 · +1.0 STAN EPA
    +.00
  2. 2Notre Dame
    Jarrard kneels
    (00:32) Kneel down by #9 T.Jarrard at UND19 for loss of 2 yards
    Q4 0:32 · 3rd & 14 ND 21 · 0.0 EPA
    Q4 0:32 · 3rd & 14 ND 21 · 0.0 EPA
    +.00
  3. 3Notre Dame
    Traore sacks Warren, −2
    (14:52) Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 2 yards to the STAN18 (#5 B.Traore), fumble by #8 D.Warren recovered by UND #4 J.Ausberry at STAN18, End Of Play
    Q1 14:52 · 1st & 10 STAN 20 · −5.4 STAN EPA
    Q1 14:52 · 1st & 10 STAN 20 · −5.4 STAN EPA
    +.00
  4. 4Notre Dame
    Carr 10-yd pass to Gilbert
    (14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #14 M.Gilbert caught at STAN08, for 10 yards to the STAN05 (#4 L.Bryant; #0 J.Galvan), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 14:15 · 2nd & 7 STAN 15 · +1.2 EPA
    Q1 14:15 · 2nd & 7 STAN 15 · +1.2 EPA
    +.00
  5. 5Stanford
    Scaife 44-yd punt
    (11:50) #39 J.Scaife punt 44 yards to the STAN14 fair catch by #13 L.Thorpe at STAN14
    Q1 11:50 · 4th & 10 ND 42 · +0.6 ND EPA
    Q1 11:50 · 4th & 10 ND 42 · +0.6 ND EPA
    +.00

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Stanford at Notre Dame
StatSTANND
Total yards202598
Plays4474
Yards / play4.68.1
EPA / play−0.39+0.57
Success rate25%60%
Explosive plays29
Havoc rate8%16%
3rd down2–118–13
Pts / opportunity0.705.63
Turnovers10
Time of possession——
Postgame WE0%100%