Tulsa vs Navy · havoc

TLSATulsa

263-3 · 0-2 American

FINAL

NAVYNavy

342-3 · 1-2 American

NAVY −3 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP NAVY 60%→POSTGAME WE NAVY 66%

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · 30,963

Win probability · full game

NAVY LOW 15% · Q2 1:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.0

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Gutierrez 56-yd TD run
(12:50) Shotgun #8 J.Gutierrez rush middle for 56 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:42, 1ST DOWN #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)
Q1 12:50 · 3rd & 2 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +5.6 EPA
Q1 12:50 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +5.6 EPA
+.20
2
Gutierrez 58-yd TD to Brasfield
Truman Brasfield 58 Yd pass from Jackson Gutierrez (Nolan Bartley Kick)
Q2 0:17 · 3rd & 6 · 7–20 → 14–20 · +6.6 EPA
Q2 0:17 · 7–20 → 14–20 · +6.6 EPA
+.16
3
Singleton 10-yd TD to Wells
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.Singleton pass complete short right to #1 D.Wells Jr. caught at Navy02, for 10 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #10 O.Carey kick attempt good (H: #29 M.Tulen, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)
Q1 1:39 · 3rd & 6 · 7–7 → 7–14 · +2.7 EPA
Q1 1:39 · 7–7 → 7–14 · +2.7 EPA
−.12
4
Robinson 10-yd punt return
(07:35) #29 M.Tulen punt 47 yards to the Navy28 #23 C.Robinson return 10 yards to the Navy38 (#22 T.Williams) PENALTY Navy Holding (#29 G.Leonard) 10 yards from Navy28 to Navy18
Q4 7:35 · 4th & 10 TLSA 25 · +1.6 EPA
Q4 7:35 · 4th & 10 TLSA 25 · +1.6 EPA
−.11
5
Hayes 39-yd pass to Ross
(07:26) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep left to #9 J.Ross caught at Navy22, for 39 yards to the Navy22 (#6 P.Hamilton), 1ST DOWN
Q1 7:26 · 3rd & 6 TLSA 39 · +3.9 EPA
Q1 7:26 · 3rd & 6 TLSA 39 · +3.9 EPA
−.11

Total · game