

TENNTennessee
245-1 · 2-1 SECFINAL


ARKArkansas
172-4 · 0-3 SECARK +13.5 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP TENN 79%→POSTGAME WE TENN 68%
Razorback Stadium · 69,038- Postgame WE
- 68%TENN · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.05ARK −0.11
- Success rate
- 46%ARK 45%
- Turnovers
- 2–0≈ 8.6 pts swing
- vs model
- +7proj TENN by 13.1
- Plays · pace
- 121proj 139 · 29.8s
Win probability · full game
TENN LOW 38% · Q3 3:53 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Lewis intercepts MacIntyre(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass intercepted by #2 S.Lewis at ARK31 QB hurried by #1 C.Harrison #2 S.Lewis return 11 yards to the ARK42, End Of PlayQ4 5:49 · 3rd & 5 ARK 42 · −3.9 TENN EPAQ4 5:49 · 3rd & 5 ARK 42 · −3.9 TENN EPA−.20 - 2

Holding on ARK(00:13) No Huddle #0 B.Russell rush right for 29 yards gain (1) to the TEN37 (#10 D.Lane), out of bounds PENALTY ARK Holding (#50 K.Branham) 10 yards from ARK35 to ARK25Q3 0:13 · 3rd & 1 ARK 34 · −2.3 ARK EPAQ3 0:13 · 3rd & 1 ARK 34 · −2.3 ARK EPA+.18 - 3

MacIntyre 22-yd pass to Staley(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #14 B.Staley caught at TEN38, for 22 yards to the TEN50 (#34 B.Green), 1ST DOWNQ3 3:53 · 3rd & 7 TENN 28 · +3.5 EPAQ3 3:53 · 3rd & 7 TENN 28 · +3.5 EPA+.18 - 4

MacIntyre 68-yd pass to Brame(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #7 D.Brame caught at TEN45, for 68 yards to the ARK06 (#2 S.Lewis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ4 14:47 · 1st & 10 TENN 26 · +4.9 EPAQ4 14:47 · 1st & 10 TENN 26 · +4.9 EPA+.17 - 5

Gilbert 55-yd FG good(07:25) #30 M.Gilbert field goal attempt from 55 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston), clock 07:20Q4 7:25 · 4th & 12 · 17–14 → 17–17 · +2.8 EPAQ4 7:25 · 17–14 → 17–17 · +2.8 EPA−.15
Player EPA
Total · game

Mike Matthews · WR4 REC · 78 YDS+7.8
Xavier Gilliam · DL1 SACK · 1.5 TFL · FF · PBU · 4 TKL+6.5
DaSaahn Brame · TE3 REC · 87 YDS · 1 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+6.1
Shelton Lewis · DBINT · PBU · 6 TKL+5.1
KJ Jackson · QB15/27 · 155 YDS · 1 TD · FUM · 2 SACKS−8.6
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 414 | 288 |
| Plays | 64 | 61 |
| Yards / play | 6.5 | 4.7 |
| EPA / play | +0.05 | −0.11 |
| Success rate | 46% | 45% |
| Explosive plays | 9 | 6 |
| Havoc rate | 18% | 15% |
| 3rd down | 4–13 | 2–11 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.40 | 2.13 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 27:56 | 32:04 |
| Postgame WE | 68% | 32% |

