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FINAL · BTN · OHIO STADIUM
MDMaryland
162-4 · 0-3 Big Ten
16
FINAL
OSUOhio State
455-1 · 3-0 Big Ten
45
MD +31.5 COVEROVER 56.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP OSU 94%→POSTGAME WE OSU 96%
Ohio Stadium · 102,589
Postgame WE
96%OSU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.13MD −0.30
Success rate
47%MD 25%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 10.1 pts swing
vs model
+29proj OSU by 25.5
Plays · pace
123proj 139 · 29.3s

Win probability · full game

OSU LOW 98% · Q1 11:20 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.8

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Ohio State
    Bell 31-yd punt return
    #34 B.McFerson punt 43 yards to the OhioSt33 #7 P.Bell return 31 yards to the Maryla36 (#18 A.Moore)
    Q1 9:47 · 4th & 6 MD 24 · −1.8 MD EPA
    Q1 9:47 · 4th & 6 MD 24 · −1.8 MD EPA
    +.01
  2. 2Ohio State
    Sayin 68-yd TD to Roberts
    Nate Roberts 68 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)
    Q1 3:03 · 2nd & 7 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +6.1 EPA
    Q1 3:03 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +6.1 EPA
    +.01
  3. 3Maryland
    Sayin 3-yd pass to Jackson
    Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at Maryla37, for 3 yards to the Maryla33 (#16 D.Joyner), out of bounds
    Q1 9:47 · 1st & 10 MD 36 · −0.5 OSU EPA
    Q1 9:47 · 1st & 10 MD 36 · −0.5 OSU EPA
    −.01
  4. 4Maryland
    O'Haire 39-yd FG good
    #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #97 L.O'Hare), clock 03:55
    Q1 3:55 · 4th & 11 · 7–0 → 7–3 · +0.9 EPA
    Q1 3:55 · 7–0 → 7–3 · +0.9 EPA
    −.01
  5. 5Maryland
    Wingate 52-yd pick-six
    Daniel Wingate 52 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
    Q3 5:12 · 1st & 10 · 31–10 → 31–16 · −10.1 OSU EPA
    Q3 5:12 · 31–10 → 31–16 · −10.1 OSU EPA
    −.01

Player EPA

Total · game