San Diego State vs Oregon State

SDSUSan Diego State

142-4 · 1-1 Pac-12

FINAL

ORSTOregon State

664-2 · 2-0 Pac-12

ORST −14.5 COVEROVER 52.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP ORST 79%→POSTGAME WE ORST 100%

Reser Stadium · 37,361

Win probability · full game

ORST LOW 84% · Q1 14:30 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 1.8

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Atkinson 2-yd TD to Murphy
(09:42) #2 B.Atkinson pass complete short right to #6 M.Murphy caught at SDS00, for 2 yards to the SDS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:39 #28 C.Ojeda kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Winsor, LS: #47 T.Sanford)
Q1 9:42 · 4th & Goal · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.2 EPA
Q1 9:42 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.2 EPA
+.05
2
Atkinson 24-yd pass to Thomas
(14:30) Shotgun #2 B.Atkinson pass complete deep left to #16 C.Thomas caught at OSU48, for 24 yards to the SDS48 (#24 J.Cox), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Q1 14:30 · 3rd & 7 ORST 28 · +3.8 EPA
Q1 14:30 · 3rd & 7 ORST 28 · +3.8 EPA
+.04
3
Atkinson 11-yd TD to Legree
(14:59) Shotgun #2 B.Atkinson pass complete short left to #12 J.Legree caught at SDS06, for 11 yards to the SDS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ojeda kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Winsor, LS: #47 T.Sanford)
Q2 14:59 · 3rd & 6 · 14–0 → 21–0 · +3.2 EPA
Q2 14:59 · 14–0 → 21–0 · +3.2 EPA
+.03
4
Denegal 11-yd pass to Napier
(08:43) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #24 J.Napier caught at SDS42, for 11 yards to the SDS42, out of bounds at SDS42, 1ST DOWN
Q1 8:43 · 3rd & 4 SDSU 31 · +2.1 EPA
Q1 8:43 · 3rd & 4 SDSU 31 · +2.1 EPA
−.02
5
Atkinson 28-yd pass to Hampton
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Atkinson pass complete short right to #7 B.Hampton caught at SDS45, for 28 yards to the SDS15 (#27 M.Lindsay), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Q1 13:29 · 2nd & 5 SDSU 43 · +2.0 EPA
Q1 13:29 · 2nd & 5 SDSU 43 · +2.0 EPA
+.02

Total · game