LSU vs Kentucky

LSULSU

344-2 · 1-2 SEC

FINAL/OT

UKKentucky

355-1 · 3-1 SEC

UK +9.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP UK 30%→POSTGAME WE UK 48%

Kroger Field · 61,897

Win probability · full game

UK LOW 3% · OT · EXCITEMENT INDEX 8.6

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Baxter 1-yd TD run
(00:00) #1 C.Baxter rush left for 1 yard gain to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #3 K.Minchey rush attempt Successful
OT 0:00 · 2nd & Goal · 27–34 → 35–34 · +1.4 EPA
OT 0:00 · 27–34 → 35–34 · +1.4 EPA
+.85
2
Harkless sacks Leavitt, −15
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt sacked for loss of 15 yards to the LSU13 (#7 J.Harkless), fumble by #10 S.Leavitt recovered by UK #94 T.Gadson at LSU13, End Of Play
Q4 4:20 · 2nd & 6 LSU 28 · −5.3 LSU EPA
Q4 4:20 · 2nd & 6 LSU 28 · −5.3 LSU EPA
+.39
3
Minchey 1-yd TD run
Kenny Minchey 1 Yd Run (Adam Zouagui Kick)
Q2 0:00 · 4th & Goal · 14–17 → 21–17 · +3.7 EPA
Q2 0:00 · 14–17 → 21–17 · +3.7 EPA
+.28
4
Minchey 19-yd pass to Darby
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #19 K.Darby caught at LSU27, for 19 yards to the LSU23 (#0 T.Cooley), 1ST DOWN
Q4 0:40 · 2nd & 2 LSU 42 · +1.0 EPA
Q4 0:40 · 2nd & 2 LSU 42 · +1.0 EPA
+.26
5
Bryant intercepts Leavitt
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass intercepted by #14 T.Bryant at LSU45 #14 T.Bryant return 9 yards to the LSU36 (#13 D.Jones)
Q3 13:20 · 1st & 10 LSU 38 · −5.5 LSU EPA
Q3 13:20 · 1st & 10 LSU 38 · −5.5 LSU EPA
+.26

Total · game