CCUCoastal Carolina
272-4 · 1-1 Sun BeltFINAL
MRSHMarshall
213-3 · 0-2 Sun BeltCCU +4.5 COVERUNDER 57.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CCU 48%→POSTGAME WE CCU 52%
Joan C. Edwards Stadium · 23,029- Postgame WE
- 52%CCU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.08MRSH −0.10
- Success rate
- 30%MRSH 46%
- Turnovers
- 0–3≈ 13.7 pts swing
- vs model
- −6proj MRSH by 0.9
- Plays · pace
- 139proj 132 · 25.9s
Win probability · full game
CCU LOW 35% · Q1 4:59 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Bailey 7-yd TD to English(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete short right to #0 K.English caught at MAR00, for 7 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN #41 M.Weisenborn kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #30 N.Cavanillas Alti)Q2 12:35 · 3rd & 6 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +3.1 EPAQ2 12:35 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +3.1 EPA+.15 - 2
Turner 22-yd pass to Norton(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short middle to #2 A.Norton caught at MAR32, for 22 yards to the MAR45 (#11 B.Starnes; #93 O.Onwuka), 1ST DOWNQ2 11:47 · 3rd & 8 MRSH 23 · +3.5 EPAQ2 11:47 · 3rd & 8 MRSH 23 · +3.5 EPA−.15 - 3Lee-Knicely 70-yd TD run(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Lee-Knicely rush left for 70 yards gain to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:42, 1ST DOWN #41 M.Weisenborn kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #30 N.Cavanillas Alti)Q3 14:53 · 1st & 10 · 13–0 → 20–0 · +5.3 EPAQ3 14:53 · 13–0 → 20–0 · +5.3 EPA+.14
- 4Del Rio-Wilson fumble, CCU recovers(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush right for 3 yards loss to the MAR10 fumbled by #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson at MAR10 recovered by CCU #1 I.Diawara at MAR10, End Of PlayQ1 11:01 · 2nd & 5 MRSH 13 · −5.6 MRSH EPAQ1 11:01 · 2nd & 5 MRSH 13 · −5.6 MRSH EPA+.13
- 5Jackson intercepts Del Rio-Wilson(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted by #26 C.Jackson at MAR48 #26 C.Jackson return 0 yards to the MAR40 (#76 T.Montgomery), out of boundsQ2 14:32 · 1st & 10 MRSH 48 · −5.7 MRSH EPAQ2 14:32 · 1st & 10 MRSH 48 · −5.7 MRSH EPA+.12
Player EPA
Total · game
- Zion Turner · QB18/27 · 219 YDS · 2 TD · FUM · 2 SACKS+7.6
- Dominic Knicely · RB25 CAR · 169 YDS · 1 TD · 3 REC · 42 REC YDS+6.6
- Owen Sweeney · WR5 REC · 57 YDS · 1 TD+6.5
- Deuce Bailey · QB8/18 · 73 YDS · 1 TD · 1 INT · 21 RUSH YDS−10.5
- Carlos Del Rio-Wilson · QB2/6 · 37 YDS · 3 INT · FUM−18.1
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 308 | 505 |
| Plays | 63 | 78 |
| Yards / play | 4.9 | 6.5 |
| EPA / play | −0.08 | −0.10 |
| Success rate | 30% | 46% |
| Explosive plays | 7 | 13 |
| Havoc rate | 21% | 20% |
| 3rd down | 3–13 | 9–15 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.70 | 1.56 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Time of possession | 30:51 | 29:09 |
| Postgame WE | 52% | 48% |