Nevada vs UTEP

NEVNevada

302-3 · 1-1 Mountain West

FINAL

UTEPUTEP

131-5 · 0-2 Mountain West

NEV −10 COVERUNDER 48.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP NEV 57%→POSTGAME WE NEV 84%

Sun Bowl · 13,927

Win probability · full game

NEV LOW 75% · Q1 9:54 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.3

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Jones run, −4
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush left for 4 yards loss to the UTEP07 (#41 D.Labarbera)
Q1 9:52 · 1st & 10 UTEP 11 · −1.5 UTEP EPA
Q1 9:52 · 1st & 10 UTEP 11 · −1.5 UTEP EPA
+.07
2
Moore 16-yd TD to Smith
(03:34) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short left to #3 J.Smith caught at Nevada03, for 16 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:29, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Arreola kick attempt good (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #49 I.Hall)
Q2 3:34 · 3rd & 13 · 10–0 → 10–7 · +3.9 EPA
Q2 3:34 · 10–0 → 10–7 · +3.9 EPA
−.06
3
Turner 49-yd run
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 H.Turner rush right for 49 yards gain to the UTEP25 (#23 K.Miles; #7 K.Lowe), 1ST DOWN
Q2 2:51 · 2nd & 9 NEV 26 · +3.0 EPA
Q2 2:51 · 2nd & 9 NEV 26 · +3.0 EPA
+.05
4
Holding on UTEP
(01:06) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTEP25 (#8 L.Turner-Gooden), out of bounds PENALTY UTEP Holding (#55 O.Aliu-Otokiti) 10 yards from UTEP20 to UTEP10. NO PLAY
Q2 1:06 · 1st & 10 UTEP 20 · −0.5 UTEP EPA
Q2 1:06 · 1st & 10 UTEP 20 · −0.5 UTEP EPA
+.05
5
Parrish sacks Jones, −6
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 6 yards to the Nevada13 (#55 L.Parrish), fumble by #6 C.Jones recovered by UTEP #21 D.Davis at Nevada13, End Of Play
Q2 5:05 · 3rd & 5 NEV 19 · −4.6 NEV EPA
Q2 5:05 · 3rd & 5 NEV 19 · −4.6 NEV EPA
−.05

Total · game