

UABUAB
133-3 · 1-1 AmericanFINAL


MEMMemphis
385-1 · 2-0 AmericanMEM −15.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP MEM 81%→POSTGAME WE MEM 94%
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · 30,322- Postgame WE
- 94%MEM · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.26UAB −0.31
- Success rate
- 52%UAB 36%
- Turnovers
- 0–3≈ 12.6 pts swing
- vs model
- +25proj MEM by 14.4
- Plays · pace
- 135proj 131 · 26.7s
Win probability · full game
MEM LOW 65% · Q3 14:20 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Stokes 16-yd run(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush left for 16 yards gain to the UAB26, out of bounds at UAB26, 1ST DOWNQ3 10:40 · 3rd & 6 UAB 42 · +2.4 EPAQ3 10:40 · 3rd & 6 UAB 42 · +2.4 EPA+.08 - 2

Burton 37-yd pass to Mims(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB47, for 37 yards to the MEM28 (#5 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNQ2 7:59 · 2nd & 11 UAB 35 · +3.6 EPAQ2 7:59 · 2nd & 11 UAB 35 · +3.6 EPA−.07 - 3

Smith intercepts Burton(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass intercepted by #3 D.Smith at MEM44 broken up by #22 Z.Ruffin #3 D.Smith return 21 yards to the UAB35 (#1 C.Smith)Q2 13:43 · 3rd & 8 UAB 47 · −4.2 UAB EPAQ2 13:43 · 3rd & 8 UAB 47 · −4.2 UAB EPA+.07 - 4

Running Into The Kicker on MEM(01:52) PENALTY MEM Running Into The Kicker (#15 E.Kinsler) 5 yards from UAB50 to MEM45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYQ2 1:52 · 4th & 5 50 · +2.3 EPAQ2 1:52 · 4th & 5 50 · +2.3 EPA−.06 - 5

Simpkins 2-yd run(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB41 (#4 J.Head Jr.)Q2 0:13 · 1st & 10 UAB 39 · −0.3 UAB EPAQ2 0:13 · 1st & 10 UAB 39 · −0.3 UAB EPA+.06
Player EPA
Total · game

Jaylin Carter · RB19 CAR · 132 YDS · 2 TD+13.2
Ty Mims · WR3 REC · 79 YDS+6.5
Marcus Stokes · QB11/21 · 164 YDS · 2 TD · 36 RUSH YDS · FUM+6.1
J'Mond Tapp · DL1 SACK · 1 TFL · FF · 3 TKL+6.0
Ryder Burton · QB10/20 · 131 YDS · 1 INT · FUM · 3 SACKS−17.4

