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FINAL · ESPN2 · SIMMONS BANK LIBERTY STADIUM
UABUAB
133-3 · 1-1 American
13
FINAL
MEMMemphis
385-1 · 2-0 American
38
MEM −15.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP MEM 81%→POSTGAME WE MEM 94%
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · 30,322
Postgame WE
94%MEM · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.26UAB −0.31
Success rate
52%UAB 36%
Turnovers
0–3≈ 12.6 pts swing
vs model
+25proj MEM by 14.4
Plays · pace
135proj 131 · 26.7s

Win probability · full game

MEM LOW 65% · Q3 14:20 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Memphis
    Stokes 16-yd run
    (10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush left for 16 yards gain to the UAB26, out of bounds at UAB26, 1ST DOWN
    Q3 10:40 · 3rd & 6 UAB 42 · +2.4 EPA
    Q3 10:40 · 3rd & 6 UAB 42 · +2.4 EPA
    +.08
  2. 2UAB
    Burton 37-yd pass to Mims
    (07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB47, for 37 yards to the MEM28 (#5 A.Foster), 1ST DOWN
    Q2 7:59 · 2nd & 11 UAB 35 · +3.6 EPA
    Q2 7:59 · 2nd & 11 UAB 35 · +3.6 EPA
    −.07
  3. 3Memphis
    Smith intercepts Burton
    (13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass intercepted by #3 D.Smith at MEM44 broken up by #22 Z.Ruffin #3 D.Smith return 21 yards to the UAB35 (#1 C.Smith)
    Q2 13:43 · 3rd & 8 UAB 47 · −4.2 UAB EPA
    Q2 13:43 · 3rd & 8 UAB 47 · −4.2 UAB EPA
    +.07
  4. 4UAB
    Running Into The Kicker on MEM
    (01:52) PENALTY MEM Running Into The Kicker (#15 E.Kinsler) 5 yards from UAB50 to MEM45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
    Q2 1:52 · 4th & 5 50 · +2.3 EPA
    Q2 1:52 · 4th & 5 50 · +2.3 EPA
    −.06
  5. 5Memphis
    Simpkins 2-yd run
    (00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB41 (#4 J.Head Jr.)
    Q2 0:13 · 1st & 10 UAB 39 · −0.3 UAB EPA
    Q2 0:13 · 1st & 10 UAB 39 · −0.3 UAB EPA
    +.06

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, UAB at Memphis
StatUABMEM
Total yards310394
Plays7167
Yards / play4.45.9
EPA / play−0.31+0.26
Success rate36%52%
Explosive plays77
Havoc rate9%14%
3rd down3–157–14
Pts / opportunity1.633.88
Turnovers30
Time of possession33:4226:18
Postgame WE6%94%