North Dakota State vs UNLV

NDSUNorth Dakota State

75-1 · 2-1 Mountain West

FINAL

UNLVUNLV

134-2 · 2-0 Mountain West

UNLV +3 COVERUNDER 47.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP UNLV 26%→POSTGAME WE UNLV 57%

Allegiant Stadium · 33,516

Win probability · full game

UNLV LOW 40% · Q1 13:34 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Bin-Wahad intercepts Hayes
(01:32) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass intercepted by #1 M.Bin-Wahad at UNLV27 #1 M.Bin-Wahad return 2 yards to the UNLV29 (#15 M.Collins)
Q4 1:32 · 2nd & 27 UNLV 41 · −2.3 NDSU EPA
Q4 1:32 · 2nd & 27 UNLV 41 · −2.3 NDSU EPA
+.20
2
Scott 6-yd run
(13:11) Shotgun #7 D.Scott rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NDSU20 (#91 E.Rudolph)
Q1 13:11 · 3rd & 23 NDSU 14 · −0.7 NDSU EPA
Q1 13:11 · 3rd & 23 NDSU 14 · −0.7 NDSU EPA
+.16
3
Porter 23-yd pick-six off Hayes
(09:44) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass intercepted by #42 A.Porter at NDSU23 #42 A.Porter return 23 yards to the NDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:39 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)
Q1 9:44 · 2nd & 10 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −6.4 NDSU EPA
Q1 9:44 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −6.4 NDSU EPA
+.15
4
Mitchell run, no gain
(14:10) #5 M.Mitchell rush middle for 0 yards to the NDSU18 (#23 C.Santee; #8 K.Ka'aihue), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q4 14:10 · 4th & 1 NDSU 18 · turnover on downs · −2.9 NDSU EPA
Q4 14:10 · 4th & 1 NDSU 18 · −2.9 NDSU EPA
+.13
5
Crayton sacks Hayes, −7
(01:48) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNLV31 (#3 D.Crayton)
Q4 1:48 · 1st & 10 UNLV 24 · −1.4 NDSU EPA
Q4 1:48 · 1st & 10 UNLV 24 · −1.4 NDSU EPA
+.12

Total · game