

JMUJames Madison
276-0 · 3-0 Sun BeltFINAL


GASOGeorgia Southern
242-4 · 1-1 Sun BeltGASO +7 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP JMU 66%→POSTGAME WE JMU 55%
Allen E. Paulson Stadium · 20,545- Postgame WE
- 55%JMU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.12GASO +0.19
- Success rate
- 42%GASO 46%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 3.7 pts swing
- vs model
- +3proj JMU by 6.8
- Plays · pace
- 142proj 133 · 25.4s
Win probability · full game
JMU LOW 35% · Q2 5:26 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Ford 52-yd FG no good(00:51) #97 B.Ford field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn), clock 00:47, End Of PlayQ4 0:51 · 4th & 10 JMU 34 · −1.3 GASO EPAQ4 0:51 · 4th & 10 JMU 34 · −1.3 GASO EPA+.16 - 2

Evans 57-yd TD to Keller(07:55) Shotgun #1 J.Evans pass complete deep right to #0 C.Keller caught at GASO35, for 57 yards to the GASO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 M.Dietzel)Q3 7:55 · 4th & 1 · 13–10 → 20–10 · +7.2 EPAQ3 7:55 · 13–10 → 20–10 · +7.2 EPA+.16 - 3

Johnson 50-yd pass to Ware(13:59) Shotgun #7 M.Johnson pass complete short left to #18 J.Ware caught at GASO45, for 50 yards to the JMU19 (#24 J.Harvey), 1ST DOWNQ1 13:59 · 3rd & 4 GASO 31 · +4.8 EPAQ1 13:59 · 3rd & 4 GASO 31 · +4.8 EPA−.16 - 4

Coleman incomplete to Harrison, turnover on downs(03:31) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Harrison thrown to GASO30, TURNOVER ON DOWNSQ1 3:31 · 4th & 4 GASO 36 · turnover on downs · −2.3 JMU EPAQ1 3:31 · 4th & 4 GASO 36 · −2.3 JMU EPA−.12 - 5

Coleman 1-yd run(00:04) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GASO03 (#43 E.Johnson; #9 F.Davies)Q2 0:04 · 3rd & 3 GASO 4 · −0.7 JMU EPAQ2 0:04 · 3rd & 3 GASO 4 · −0.7 JMU EPA−.12
Player EPA
Total · game

Max Johnson · QB26/38 · 343 YDS · 3 TD · 1 INT+14.4
Cole Keller · TE4 REC · 108 YDS · 1 TD+12.2
Josh Dallas · WR8 REC · 111 YDS+11.6
JC Evans · QB2/2 · 58 YDS · 2 TD · FUM · 1 SACK+8.3
Jeremiah Ware · WR1 REC · 50 YDS+4.8
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 438 | 465 |
| Plays | 77 | 65 |
| Yards / play | 5.7 | 7.2 |
| EPA / play | +0.12 | +0.19 |
| Success rate | 42% | 46% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 11 |
| Havoc rate | 12% | 13% |
| 3rd down | 5–16 | 5–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.86 | 3.00 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 31:17 | 28:43 |
| Postgame WE | 55% | 45% |

