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FINAL · ACC NETWORK · SCOTT STADIUM
SYRSyracuse
252-3 · 0-3 ACC
25
FINAL
UVAVirginia
284-2 · 2-1 ACC
28
SYR +14 COVEROVER 49.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UVA 66%→POSTGAME WE UVA 59%
Scott Stadium · 39,661
Postgame WE
59%UVA · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.08SYR +0.11
Success rate
49%SYR 38%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+3proj UVA by 6.9
Plays · pace
134proj 149 · 26.9s

Win probability · full game

UVA LOW 30% · Q3 8:58 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.3

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Virginia
    Pribula 43-yd TD to Martin
    (02:01) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete deep right to #18 D.Martin caught at SYR00, for 43 yards to the SYR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:01, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SYR Holding declined #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #50 W.Rubinoff)
    Q3 2:01 · 1st & 10 · 7–17 → 14–17 · +3.4 EPA
    Q3 2:01 · 7–17 → 14–17 · +3.4 EPA
    +.18
  2. 2Syracuse
    Pribula incomplete to Courtney
    (11:22) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Courtney thrown to UVA35
    Q3 11:22 · 3rd & 5 UVA 28 · −1.7 UVA EPA
    Q3 11:22 · 3rd & 5 UVA 28 · −1.7 UVA EPA
    −.12
  3. 3Virginia
    Middlebrook 3-yd TD run
    (11:41) Shotgun #21 J.Middlebrook rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:42 #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #50 W.Rubinoff)
    Q4 11:41 · 2nd & Goal · 14–17 → 21–17 · +1.3 EPA
    Q4 11:41 · 14–17 → 21–17 · +1.3 EPA
    +.12
  4. 4Virginia
    Gregg run, −14
    (08:45) #41 J.Gregg rush middle for 14 yards loss to the SYR34, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (08:45) #41 J.Gregg punt 38 yards to the UVA14)
    Q4 8:45 · 4th & 3 SYR 48 · turnover on downs · −3.9 SYR EPA
    Q4 8:45 · 4th & 3 SYR 48 · −3.9 SYR EPA
    +.11
  5. 5Syracuse
    Hill 48-yd run
    (14:27) Shotgun #20 T.Hill rush middle for 48 yards gain to the UVA27 (#10 J.Henderson; #17 J.Ross), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 14:27 · 1st & 10 SYR 25 · +4.1 EPA
    Q3 14:27 · 1st & 10 SYR 25 · +4.1 EPA
    −.10

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Syracuse at Virginia
StatSYRUVA
Total yards430288
Plays8255
Yards / play5.25.2
EPA / play+0.11+0.08
Success rate38%49%
Explosive plays88
Havoc rate13%16%
3rd down5–173–10
Pts / opportunity2.783.11
Turnovers00
Time of possession35:0724:53
Postgame WE42%59%