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FINAL · BTN · ROSS-ADE STADIUM
MINNMinnesota
134-2 · 2-1 Big Ten
13
FINAL
PURPurdue
413-3 · 2-1 Big Ten
41
PUR +2.5 COVEROVER 48.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP PUR 60%→POSTGAME WE PUR 97%
Ross-Ade Stadium · 48,559
Postgame WE
97%PUR · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.26MINN −0.20
Success rate
48%MINN 29%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+28proj PUR by 4.3
Plays · pace
123proj 132 · 29.3s

Win probability · full game

PUR LOW 46% · Q1 10:21 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.3

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Purdue
    Browne 15-yd TD to Burhenn
    (02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #81 G.Burhenn caught at Min00, for 15 yards to the Min00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:26, 1ST DOWN. #0 A.Smith injured on the play #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)
    Q1 2:35 · 3rd & 7 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +3.1 EPA
    Q1 2:35 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +3.1 EPA
    +.13
  2. 2Purdue
    Ijeboi 4-yd run
    (10:19) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR06 (#14 K.Brown)
    Q1 10:19 · 1st & 10 PUR 2 · +0.1 EPA
    Q1 10:19 · 1st & 10 PUR 2 · +0.1 EPA
    +.08
  3. 3Minnesota
    Weston 35-yd punt
    (10:27) #42 T.Weston punt 35 yards to the PUR02
    Q1 10:27 · 4th & 4 PUR 37 · −0.2 EPA
    Q1 10:27 · 4th & 4 PUR 37 · −0.2 EPA
    −.07
  4. 4Minnesota
    Harris run, no gain
    (13:33) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the Min40 (#14 K.Brown), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q2 13:33 · 4th & 1 MINN 40 · turnover on downs · −3.3 PUR EPA
    Q2 13:33 · 4th & 1 MINN 40 · −3.3 PUR EPA
    −.07
  5. 5Minnesota
    Lindsey 19-yd pass to Smith
    (12:35) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #8 J.Smith caught at PUR39, for 19 yards to the PUR39 (#4 H.Hines), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PUR is challenging the ruling on the field - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
    Q2 12:35 · 3rd & 8 MINN 42 · +3.0 EPA
    Q2 12:35 · 3rd & 8 MINN 42 · +3.0 EPA
    −.07

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Minnesota at Purdue
StatMINNPUR
Total yards275464
Plays5271
Yards / play5.36.5
EPA / play−0.20+0.26
Success rate29%48%
Explosive plays612
Havoc rate7%10%
3rd down4–135–12
Pts / opportunity0.754.10
Turnovers00
Time of possession22:5337:07
Postgame WE4%97%