Hawai'i vs Arizona State

HAWHawai'i

121-5 · 0-3 Mountain West

FINAL

ASUArizona State

303-2 · 1-1 Big 12

HAW +20.5 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP ASU 77%→POSTGAME WE ASU 87%

Mountain America Stadium · 47,931

Win probability · full game

ASU LOW 86% · Q2 14:14 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.2

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Hugo sacks Alejado, −12
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 12 yards to the ASU33 (#98 J.Hugo)
Q2 12:20 · 3rd & Goal ASU 21 · −2.5 HAW EPA
Q2 12:20 · 3rd & Goal ASU 21 · −2.5 HAW EPA
+.05
2
Alejado 47-yd pass to Alves
(14:55) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete deep middle to #11 D.Alves caught at ASU35, for 47 yards to the ASU28 (#1 A.Stamps), 1ST DOWN
Q1 14:55 · 1st & 10 HAW 25 · +3.7 EPA
Q1 14:55 · 1st & 10 HAW 25 · +3.7 EPA
−.05
3
False Start on HAW
PENALTY HAW False Start (#9 D.Tauaefa) 5 yards from ASU02 to ASU07. NO PLAY
Q2 13:49 · 1st & Goal ASU 2 · −0.7 HAW EPA
Q2 13:49 · 1st & Goal ASU 2 · −0.7 HAW EPA
+.03
4
Mack 1-yd TD run
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Mack rush right for 1 yard gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:56 #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)
Q2 9:59 · 3rd & Goal · 7–3 → 14–3 · +1.2 EPA
Q2 9:59 · 7–3 → 14–3 · +1.2 EPA
+.03
5
Mack 67-yd TD run
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Mack rush middle for 67 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)
Q3 1:01 · 1st & 10 · 17–6 → 24–6 · +5.3 EPA
Q3 1:01 · 17–6 → 24–6 · +5.3 EPA
+.02

Total · game