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FINAL · ESPN2 · S.B. BALLARD STADIUM
GASOGeorgia Southern
233-4 · 2-1 Sun Belt
23
FINAL
ODUOld Dominion
152-5 · 1-3 Sun Belt
15
GASO −3 COVERUNDER 44.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP GASO 53%→POSTGAME WE GASO 71%
S.B. Ballard Stadium · 17,912
Postgame WE
71%GASO · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.10ODU −0.23
Success rate
47%ODU 32%
Turnovers
1–1≈ 1.9 pts swing
vs model
+8proj GASO by 1.1
Plays · pace
130proj 129 · 27.7s

Win probability · full game

GASO LOW 35% · Q1 8:11 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Georgia Southern
    Roche fumble, GS recovers
    (01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ODU46 fumbled by #3 D.Roche at ODU46 forced by #44 N.Eldridge Jr. recovered by GS #0 A.Sears at ODU46, End Of Play
    Q1 1:17 · 2nd & 3 ODU 41 · −5.4 ODU EPA
    Q1 1:17 · 2nd & 3 ODU 41 · −5.4 ODU EPA
    +.14
  2. 2Georgia Southern
    Gibbs 11-yd TD run
    (02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Gibbs rush right for 11 yards gain to the ODU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:57, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn)
    Q1 2:59 · 1st & 10 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +1.7 EPA
    Q1 2:59 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +1.7 EPA
    +.10
  3. 3Georgia Southern
    Henicle incomplete to Johnson, broken up by Calicut, turnover on downs
    (10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Henicle pass incomplete deep left to #11 T.Johnson thrown to GS 02 broken up by #22 C.Calicut, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q2 10:20 · 4th & 5 GASO 33 · turnover on downs · −2.6 ODU EPA
    Q2 10:20 · 4th & 5 GASO 33 · −2.6 ODU EPA
    +.10
  4. 4Old Dominion
    Henicle 14-yd run
    (09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Henicle rush left for 14 yards gain to the ODU48 (#0 A.Sears), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 9:02 · 3rd & 12 ODU 34 · +3.3 EPA
    Q1 9:02 · 3rd & 12 ODU 34 · +3.3 EPA
    −.09
  5. 5Georgia Southern
    Roche run, no gain
    (03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush left for 0 yards to the ODU32 (#9 F.Davies; #4 A.Bynum)
    Q2 3:39 · 2nd & 3 ODU 32 · −2.0 ODU EPA
    Q2 3:39 · 2nd & 3 ODU 32 · −2.0 ODU EPA
    +.08

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
StatGASOODU
Total yards399272
Plays7656
Yards / play5.34.9
EPA / play+0.10−0.23
Success rate47%32%
Explosive plays76
Havoc rate21%7%
3rd down3–123–10
Pts / opportunity2.561.17
Turnovers11
Time of possession36:2623:34
Postgame WE71%30%