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FINAL · ESPN · PROTECTIVE STADIUM
ECUEast Carolina
173-3 · 1-1 American
17
FINAL/OT
UABUAB
304-3 · 2-1 American
30
UAB +5.5 COVERUNDER 49.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP UAB 33%→POSTGAME WE UAB 76%
Protective Stadium · 19,834
Postgame WE
76%UAB · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.01ECU −0.23
Success rate
36%ECU 36%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 12.7 pts swing
vs model
−13proj ECU by 7.3
Plays · pace
146proj 128 · 24.7s

Win probability · full game

UAB LOW 1% · Q4 2:25 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1UAB
    Burton 6-yd TD to Robinson
    Rod Robinson II 6 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Jonah Delange Kick)
    OT 0:00 · 3rd & Goal · 15–17 → 24–17 · +3.7 EPA
    OT 0:00 · 15–17 → 24–17 · +3.7 EPA
    +.48
  2. 2UAB
    Engleman 8-yd run
    (00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Engleman Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ECU49 (#3 I.Esonwune), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 0:01 · 2nd & 5 ECU 41 · −0.1 ECU EPA
    Q4 0:01 · 2nd & 5 ECU 41 · −0.1 ECU EPA
    +.40
  3. 3UAB
    Burton 18-yd pass to Smith
    (00:00) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #1 C.Smith caught at ECU12, for 18 yards to the ECU07 (#12 M.Pollard; #8 K.McKinley), 1ST DOWN
    OT 0:00 · 3rd & 10 ECU 25 · +2.7 EPA
    OT 0:00 · 3rd & 10 ECU 25 · +2.7 EPA
    +.34
  4. 4East Carolina
    Robinson run, no gain
    (00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 0 yards to the ECU06 (#99 J.Lampley)
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & Goal ECU 6 · −1.2 UAB EPA
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & Goal ECU 6 · −1.2 UAB EPA
    −.19
  5. 5East Carolina
    Burton incomplete to Smith, broken up by Ross
    (00:00) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Smith thrown to ECU01 broken up by #22 A.Ross
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & 10 ECU 25 · −0.9 UAB EPA
    OT 0:00 · 2nd & 10 ECU 25 · −0.9 UAB EPA
    −.15

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, East Carolina at UAB
StatECUUAB
Total yards315361
Plays7769
Yards / play4.15.2
EPA / play−0.23+0.01
Success rate36%36%
Explosive plays612
Havoc rate23%12%
3rd down9–206–16
Pts / opportunity1.702.67
Turnovers20
Time of possession34:1125:49
Postgame WE24%76%