Colorado State vs Texas State

CSUColorado State

272-4 · 0-2 Pac-12

FINAL

TXSTTexas State

663-3 · 1-1 Pac-12

TXST −15.5 COVEROVER 69.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP TXST 75%→POSTGAME WE TXST 95%

Bobcat Stadium · 16,229

Win probability · full game

TXST LOW 83% · Q1 13:34 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 1.8

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Farrar 1-yd pass to Brown
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Farrar pass complete short right to #1 M.Brown caught at CSU25, for 1 yard loss to the CSU28 (#3 C.Royal Jr.)
Q1 13:04 · 2nd & 5 CSU 29 · −1.3 CSU EPA
Q1 13:04 · 2nd & 5 CSU 29 · −1.3 CSU EPA
+.03
2
Burgess 51-yd TD run
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 51 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:28, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Bonilla kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)
Q1 7:28 · 2nd & 1 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +4.3 EPA
Q1 7:28 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +4.3 EPA
+.02
3
Flintoff 42-yd punt
(13:42) #92 T.Flintoff punt 42 yards to the CSU24, out of bounds at CSU24
Q1 13:42 · 4th & 1 TXST 34 · −0.2 TXST EPA
Q1 13:42 · 4th & 1 TXST 34 · −0.2 TXST EPA
−.02
4
Burgess 2-yd TD run
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:53 #38 J.Bonilla kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)
Q1 9:56 · 2nd & Goal · 0–0 → 7–0 · +1.1 EPA
Q1 9:56 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +1.1 EPA
+.01
5
Burgess 2-yd run
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST27 (#23 J.Mitchell)
Q1 15:00 · 1st & 10 TXST 25 · −0.6 TXST EPA
Q1 15:00 · 1st & 10 TXST 25 · −0.6 TXST EPA
−.01

Total · game