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FINAL · ESPN · YULMAN STADIUM
MEMMemphis
175-2 · 2-1 American
17
FINAL
TULNTulane
313-3 · 1-1 American
31
TULN +6.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP TULN 33%→POSTGAME WE TULN 74%
Yulman Stadium · 20,083
Postgame WE
74%TULN · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.09MEM −0.27
Success rate
29%MEM 42%
Turnovers
1–3≈ 15.3 pts swing
vs model
−14proj MEM by 7.1
Plays · pace
140proj 124 · 25.7s

Win probability · full game

TULN LOW 13% · Q2 14:08 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.1

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Tulane
    Smith 76-yd pick-six
    TJ Smith 76 Yd Interception Return (Cooper Helmke Kick)
    Q2 0:00 · 2nd & 10 · 16–10 → 23–10 · −8.1 MEM EPA
    Q2 0:00 · 16–10 → 23–10 · −8.1 MEM EPA
    +.32
  2. 2Memphis
    Stokes 76-yd TD to Burnside
    (14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short middle to #5 S.Burnside caught at MEM40, for 76 yards to the TLN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:08, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)
    Q2 14:19 · 2nd & 11 · 3–3 → 3–10 · +7.6 EPA
    Q2 14:19 · 3–3 → 3–10 · +7.6 EPA
    −.20
  3. 3Tulane
    Johnson 18-yd pass to Roberts
    (08:44) Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass complete short middle to #87 C.Roberts caught at MEM40, for 18 yards to the MEM36 (#9 M.Montgomery)
    Q2 8:44 · 1st & 20 TULN 46 · +2.0 EPA
    Q2 8:44 · 1st & 20 TULN 46 · +2.0 EPA
    +.13
  4. 4Tulane
    Roberts sacks Stokes, −5
    (07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes sacked for loss of 5 yards to the MEM46 (#40 W.Roberts Jr.), fumble by #2 M.Stokes recovered by TLN #40 W.Roberts Jr. at MEM46, End Of Play
    Q1 7:25 · 2nd & 5 TULN 49 · −5.6 MEM EPA
    Q1 7:25 · 2nd & 5 TULN 49 · −5.6 MEM EPA
    +.13
  5. 5Memphis
    Foster intercepts Johnson
    (00:20) Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass intercepted by #5 A.Foster at MEM31 #5 A.Foster return 37 yards to the TLN32 (#6 J.Daniels), out of bounds
    Q2 0:20 · 2nd & 5 MEM 48 · −2.3 TULN EPA
    Q2 0:20 · 2nd & 5 MEM 48 · −2.3 TULN EPA
    −.13

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Memphis at Tulane
StatMEMTULN
Total yards488325
Plays8160
Yards / play6.05.4
EPA / play−0.27−0.09
Success rate42%29%
Explosive plays106
Havoc rate14%22%
3rd down2–114–16
Pts / opportunity1.313.00
Turnovers31
Time of possession29:1230:48
Postgame WE26%74%