

MEMMemphis
175-2 · 2-1 AmericanFINAL


TULNTulane
313-3 · 1-1 AmericanTULN +6.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP TULN 33%→POSTGAME WE TULN 74%
Yulman Stadium · 20,083- Postgame WE
- 74%TULN · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.09MEM −0.27
- Success rate
- 29%MEM 42%
- Turnovers
- 1–3≈ 15.3 pts swing
- vs model
- −14proj MEM by 7.1
- Plays · pace
- 140proj 124 · 25.7s
Win probability · full game
TULN LOW 13% · Q2 14:08 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Smith 76-yd pick-sixTJ Smith 76 Yd Interception Return (Cooper Helmke Kick)Q2 0:00 · 2nd & 10 · 16–10 → 23–10 · −8.1 MEM EPAQ2 0:00 · 16–10 → 23–10 · −8.1 MEM EPA+.32 - 2

Stokes 76-yd TD to Burnside(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short middle to #5 S.Burnside caught at MEM40, for 76 yards to the TLN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:08, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Q2 14:19 · 2nd & 11 · 3–3 → 3–10 · +7.6 EPAQ2 14:19 · 3–3 → 3–10 · +7.6 EPA−.20 - 3

Johnson 18-yd pass to Roberts(08:44) Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass complete short middle to #87 C.Roberts caught at MEM40, for 18 yards to the MEM36 (#9 M.Montgomery)Q2 8:44 · 1st & 20 TULN 46 · +2.0 EPAQ2 8:44 · 1st & 20 TULN 46 · +2.0 EPA+.13 - 4

Roberts sacks Stokes, −5(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes sacked for loss of 5 yards to the MEM46 (#40 W.Roberts Jr.), fumble by #2 M.Stokes recovered by TLN #40 W.Roberts Jr. at MEM46, End Of PlayQ1 7:25 · 2nd & 5 TULN 49 · −5.6 MEM EPAQ1 7:25 · 2nd & 5 TULN 49 · −5.6 MEM EPA+.13 - 5

Foster intercepts Johnson(00:20) Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass intercepted by #5 A.Foster at MEM31 #5 A.Foster return 37 yards to the TLN32 (#6 J.Daniels), out of boundsQ2 0:20 · 2nd & 5 MEM 48 · −2.3 TULN EPAQ2 0:20 · 2nd & 5 MEM 48 · −2.3 TULN EPA−.13
Player EPA
Total · game

Stonka Burnside · WR7 REC · 151 YDS · 1 TD+11.7
Ed Smith IV · DL1 SACK · 1 TFL · 2 FF · 4 TKL+8.9
TJ Smith · DBINT · PBU · 1 TKL+8.1
Warren Roberts Jr. · EDGE1 SACK · 1 TFL · FF · 4 TKL+5.6
Marcus Stokes · QB20/37 · 306 YDS · 2 TD · 3 INT · 3 FUM−22.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 488 | 325 |
| Plays | 81 | 60 |
| Yards / play | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| EPA / play | −0.27 | −0.09 |
| Success rate | 42% | 29% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 6 |
| Havoc rate | 14% | 22% |
| 3rd down | 2–11 | 4–16 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.31 | 3.00 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 29:12 | 30:48 |
| Postgame WE | 26% | 74% |

