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FINAL · FOX · ROSS-ADE STADIUM
UWWashington
384-3 · 1-3 Big Ten
38
FINAL
PURPurdue
263-4 · 2-2 Big Ten
26
UW +3 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP UW 36%→POSTGAME WE UW 70%
Ross-Ade Stadium · 50,941
Postgame WE
70%UW · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.21PUR −0.13
Success rate
53%PUR 34%
Turnovers
1–1≈ 0.9 pts swing
vs model
−12proj PUR by 6.0
Plays · pace
127proj 133 · 28.3s

Win probability · full game

UW LOW 38% · Q1 14:03 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Purdue
    Drennan 39-yd punt
    (02:47) #42 D.Drennan punt 39 yards to the UW 10 muffed by #6 D.Robinson at UW 10 recovered by PUR #7 D.Saunders at UW 10, End Of Play
    Q2 2:47 · 4th & 9 UW 49 · +5.1 EPA
    Q2 2:47 · 4th & 9 UW 49 · +5.1 EPA
    −.11
  2. 2Washington
    Brown 18-yd pass to Williams
    (00:52) Shotgun #7 E.Brown pass complete short right to #16 J.Williams caught at PUR07, for 18 yards to the PUR07 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 0:52 · 3rd & 12 PUR 25 · +3.3 EPA
    Q3 0:52 · 3rd & 12 PUR 25 · +3.3 EPA
    +.11
  3. 3Washington
    Cooley 53-yd TD run
    (10:38) Shotgun #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 53 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:30, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
    Q4 10:38 · 1st & 10 · 31–26 → 38–26 · +4.4 EPA
    Q4 10:38 · 31–26 → 38–26 · +4.4 EPA
    +.11
  4. 4Purdue
    Browne 10-yd TD to Ijeboi
    (02:38) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at UW 10, for 10 yards to the UW 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:35, 1ST DOWN #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)
    Q2 2:38 · 1st & Goal · 17–10 → 17–17 · +2.5 EPA
    Q2 2:38 · 17–10 → 17–17 · +2.5 EPA
    −.11
  5. 5Purdue
    Hayden intercepts Brown
    (06:47) Shotgun #7 E.Brown pass intercepted by #0 J.Hayden at UW 40, End Of Play
    Q3 6:47 · 1st & 10 UW 36 · −4.9 UW EPA
    Q3 6:47 · 1st & 10 UW 36 · −4.9 UW EPA
    −.10

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Washington at Purdue
StatUWPUR
Total yards488371
Plays6168
Yards / play8.05.5
EPA / play+0.21−0.13
Success rate53%34%
Explosive plays146
Havoc rate25%19%
3rd down4–75–14
Pts / opportunity5.432.17
Turnovers11
Time of possession29:1630:44
Postgame WE70%30%