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FINAL · ESPN2 · BROOKS STADIUM
APPApp State
354-2 · 1-1 Sun Belt
35
FINAL
CCUCoastal Carolina
322-5 · 1-2 Sun Belt
32
APP −1.5 COVEROVER 48.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP APP 50%→POSTGAME WE APP 59%
Brooks Stadium · 19,485
Postgame WE
59%APP · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.38CCU +0.24
Success rate
53%CCU 51%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 2.6 pts swing
vs model
+3proj even
Plays · pace
136proj 131 · 26.5s

Win probability · full game

APP LOW 17% · Q3 12:30 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Coastal Carolina
    Bailey 71-yd TD to Washington
    (11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #1 R.Washington caught at APP33, for 71 yards to the APP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:47, 1ST DOWN #30 N.Cavanillas Alti kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #41 M.Weisenborn)
    Q2 11:58 · 1st & 10 · 14–7 → 14–14 · +5.6 EPA
    Q2 11:58 · 14–7 → 14–14 · +5.6 EPA
    −.19
  2. 2Coastal Carolina
    Bailey 39-yd pass to Hinton
    (14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep left to #14 C.Hinton caught at APP31, for 39 yards to the APP21 (#0 J.Berchal), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 14:12 · 3rd & 10 CCU 40 · +4.5 EPA
    Q1 14:12 · 3rd & 10 CCU 40 · +4.5 EPA
    −.17
  3. 3App State
    Lewis 12-yd TD run
    (08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)
    Q3 8:01 · 2nd & 8 · 14–24 → 21–24 · +2.6 EPA
    Q3 8:01 · 14–24 → 21–24 · +2.6 EPA
    +.15
  4. 4App State
    Hasselbeck 15-yd run
    (02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush right for 15 yards gain to the CCU03 (#94 D.Grayson), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 2:42 · 3rd & 2 CCU 18 · +1.9 EPA
    Q3 2:42 · 3rd & 2 CCU 18 · +1.9 EPA
    +.12
  5. 5Coastal Carolina
    Singleton fumble, CCU recovers
    (00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 13 yards loss to the CCU36 fumbled by #3 M.Singleton at CCU32 recovered by CCU #90 R.Jean at CCU36, End Of Play
    Q2 0:15 · 3rd & 5 CCU 23 · −2.6 APP EPA
    Q2 0:15 · 3rd & 5 CCU 23 · −2.6 APP EPA
    −.11

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, App State at Coastal Carolina
StatAPPCCU
Total yards516437
Plays7861
Yards / play6.67.2
EPA / play+0.38+0.24
Success rate53%51%
Explosive plays178
Havoc rate10%9%
3rd down8–156–11
Pts / opportunity3.893.13
Turnovers10
Time of possession33:1726:43
Postgame WE59%41%