

APPApp State
354-2 · 1-1 Sun BeltFINAL


CCUCoastal Carolina
322-5 · 1-2 Sun BeltAPP −1.5 COVEROVER 48.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP APP 50%→POSTGAME WE APP 59%
Brooks Stadium · 19,485- Postgame WE
- 59%APP · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.38CCU +0.24
- Success rate
- 53%CCU 51%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 2.6 pts swing
- vs model
- +3proj even
- Plays · pace
- 136proj 131 · 26.5s
Win probability · full game
APP LOW 17% · Q3 12:30 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.7Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Bailey 71-yd TD to Washington(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #1 R.Washington caught at APP33, for 71 yards to the APP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:47, 1ST DOWN #30 N.Cavanillas Alti kick attempt good (H: #42 R.Podesta, LS: #41 M.Weisenborn)Q2 11:58 · 1st & 10 · 14–7 → 14–14 · +5.6 EPAQ2 11:58 · 14–7 → 14–14 · +5.6 EPA−.19 - 2

Bailey 39-yd pass to Hinton(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep left to #14 C.Hinton caught at APP31, for 39 yards to the APP21 (#0 J.Berchal), 1ST DOWNQ1 14:12 · 3rd & 10 CCU 40 · +4.5 EPAQ1 14:12 · 3rd & 10 CCU 40 · +4.5 EPA−.17 - 3

Lewis 12-yd TD run(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P.Stone)Q3 8:01 · 2nd & 8 · 14–24 → 21–24 · +2.6 EPAQ3 8:01 · 14–24 → 21–24 · +2.6 EPA+.15 - 4

Hasselbeck 15-yd run(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hasselbeck rush right for 15 yards gain to the CCU03 (#94 D.Grayson), 1ST DOWNQ3 2:42 · 3rd & 2 CCU 18 · +1.9 EPAQ3 2:42 · 3rd & 2 CCU 18 · +1.9 EPA+.12 - 5

Singleton fumble, CCU recovers(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 13 yards loss to the CCU36 fumbled by #3 M.Singleton at CCU32 recovered by CCU #90 R.Jean at CCU36, End Of PlayQ2 0:15 · 3rd & 5 CCU 23 · −2.6 APP EPAQ2 0:15 · 3rd & 5 CCU 23 · −2.6 APP EPA−.11
Player EPA
Total · game

Henry Hasselbeck · QB9/12 · 112 YDS · 1 TD · 0 INT · 125 RUSH YDS+17.7
Deuce Bailey · QB16/31 · 298 YDS · 3 TD · 1 INT · 38 RUSH YDS+12.0
Jaquari Lewis · RB13 CAR · 85 YDS · 4 TD · 2 REC · 22 REC YDS+8.9
Robby Washington · WR5 REC · 118 YDS · 1 TD+6.1
Colton Hinton · WR3 REC · 77 YDS+5.8
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 516 | 437 |
| Plays | 78 | 61 |
| Yards / play | 6.6 | 7.2 |
| EPA / play | +0.38 | +0.24 |
| Success rate | 53% | 51% |
| Explosive plays | 17 | 8 |
| Havoc rate | 10% | 9% |
| 3rd down | 8–15 | 6–11 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.89 | 3.13 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 33:17 | 26:43 |
| Postgame WE | 59% | 41% |

