Wake Forest vs California

WAKEWake Forest

416-1 · 4-1 ACC

FINAL

CALCalifornia

73-4 · 2-2 ACC

WAKE −10 COVERUNDER 54.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP WAKE 73%→POSTGAME WE WAKE 99%

California Memorial Stadium

Win probability · full game

WAKE LOW 70% · Q1 10:05 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.9

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Lopez 39-yd TD to Barry
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #84 D.Barry caught at CAL25, for 39 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #6 S.Pizzella, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)
Q1 8:20 · 1st & 10 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.6 EPA
Q1 8:20 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.6 EPA
+.07
2
Davies 43-yd punt
(08:20) #29 A.Davies punt 43 yards to the WF 01
Q1 8:20 · 4th & 15 WAKE 44 · +1.4 EPA
Q1 8:20 · 4th & 15 WAKE 44 · +1.4 EPA
−.06
3
Lopez 15-yd pass to Meeks
(08:20) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #14 A.Meeks caught at WF 10, for 15 yards to the WF 16 (#7 D.Harris), 1ST DOWN
Q1 8:20 · 1st & 10 WAKE 1 · +1.3 EPA
Q1 8:20 · 1st & 10 WAKE 1 · +1.3 EPA
+.06
4
Offside declined WF Targeting on WF
(10:05) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete deep right to #15 M.Hamper thrown to WF 35 PENALTY WF Offside declined WF Targeting (#5 D.Patterson) 15 yards from CAL32 to CAL47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Q1 10:05 · 3rd & 2 CAL 32 · +2.2 EPA
Q1 10:05 · 3rd & 2 CAL 32 · +2.2 EPA
−.06
5
Brousseau incomplete to Hendricks, broken up by Blades, turnover on downs
(06:27) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to CAL34 broken up by #2 B.Blades II, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q1 6:27 · 4th & 1 CAL 34 · turnover on downs · −2.8 CAL EPA
Q1 6:27 · 4th & 1 CAL 34 · −2.8 CAL EPA
+.04

Total · game