Penn State vs Michigan

PSUPenn State

183-4 · 0-4 Big Ten

FINAL

MICHMichigan

214-2 · 1-2 Big Ten

PSU +6 COVERUNDER 43.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP MICH 54%→POSTGAME WE MICH 59%

Michigan Stadium · 110,731

Win probability · full game

MICH LOW 44% · Q2 7:55 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.0

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Bracy sacks Becht, −9
(05:08) Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 9 yards to the PSU16 (#7 C.Bracy), fumble by #3 R.Becht recovered by U-M #17 E.Etta at PSU16 #17 E.Etta return 3 yards to the PSU13 (#68 A.Donkoh)
Q4 5:08 · 1st & 10 PSU 25 · −5.7 PSU EPA
Q4 5:08 · 1st & 10 PSU 25 · −5.7 PSU EPA
+.24
2
Kuzdzal 43-yd TD run
(12:06) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 43 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:58, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)
Q3 12:06 · 2nd & 10 · 0–3 → 7–3 · +4.7 EPA
Q3 12:06 · 0–3 → 7–3 · +4.7 EPA
+.18
3
Hansen 2-yd TD run
(11:44) #21 C.Hansen rush left for 2 yards gain to the U-M00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:40 #18 B.Brahmer pass attempt Successful
Q4 11:44 · 1st & Goal · 14–3 → 14–11 · +0.7 EPA
Q4 11:44 · 14–3 → 14–11 · +0.7 EPA
−.13
4
Kuzdzal run, −5
(08:07) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 5 yards loss to the U-M02 (#7 Z.Tracy)
Q2 8:07 · 1st & 10 MICH 7 · −1.5 MICH EPA
Q2 8:07 · 1st & 10 MICH 7 · −1.5 MICH EPA
−.12
5
Bracy intercepts Becht
(08:26) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass intercepted by #7 C.Bracy at U-M26, End Of Play
Q3 8:26 · 3rd & 3 MICH 32 · −3.9 PSU EPA
Q3 8:26 · 3rd & 3 MICH 32 · −3.9 PSU EPA
+.10

Total · game