WISWisconsin
74-2 · 2-1 Big TenFINAL
UCLAUCLA
176-0 · 4-0 Big TenUCLA −1.5 COVERUNDER 42.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UCLA 71%→POSTGAME WE UCLA 77%
Rose Bowl · 36,045- Postgame WE
- 77%UCLA · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.03WIS −0.08
- Success rate
- 41%WIS 40%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 0.1 pts swing
- vs model
- +10proj UCLA by 9.2
- Plays · pace
- 119proj 127 · 30.3s
Win probability · full game
UCLA LOW 48% · Q1 15:00 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.8Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Pass Interference on WISC(02:49) Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Mizell thrown to WISC40 PENALTY WISC Pass Interference (#6 J.Scott) 13 yards from UCLA48 to WISC39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYQ3 2:49 · 3rd & 16 UCLA 48 · +3.5 EPAQ3 2:49 · 3rd & 16 UCLA 48 · +3.5 EPA+.11 - 2Dieffenbach 22-yd pass to Loftin(04:58) Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass complete deep right to #85 B.Loftin caught at WISC46, for 22 yards to the WISC46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WISC Offside declinedQ3 4:58 · 3rd & 13 UCLA 32 · +4.0 EPAQ3 4:58 · 3rd & 13 UCLA 32 · +4.0 EPA+.11
- 3Dieffenbach 28-yd pass to Ellis(14:59) Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass complete short left to #11 L.Ellis caught at UCLA20, for 28 yards to the UCLA31 (#4 M.Burks Jr.), 1ST DOWNQ4 14:59 · 1st & 18 UCLA 3 · +2.1 EPAQ4 14:59 · 1st & 18 UCLA 3 · +2.1 EPA+.11
- 4Dieffenbach 33-yd pass to Morgan(12:51) Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass complete deep middle to #4 S.Morgan caught at WISC36, for 33 yards to the WISC32 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WISC Targeting (#29 M.Jung) 15 yards from WISC32 to WISC17, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass complete deep middle to #4 S.Morgan caught at WISC36, for 33 yards to the WISC32 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWN)Q4 12:51 · 3rd & 6 UCLA 35 · +4.6 EPAQ4 12:51 · 3rd & 6 UCLA 35 · +4.6 EPA+.11
- 5
Dieffenbach incomplete to Knight, broken up by Jung, turnover on downs(01:21) Shotgun #14 T.Dieffenbach pass incomplete short middle to #3 W.Knight thrown to WISC29 broken up by #29 M.Jung, TURNOVER ON DOWNSQ3 1:21 · 4th & 4 WIS 33 · turnover on downs · −3.1 UCLA EPAQ3 1:21 · 4th & 4 WIS 33 · −3.1 UCLA EPA−.10
Player EPA
Total · game
- Ty Dieffenbach · QB22/33 · 264 YDS · 1 INT · 1 SACK+9.7
- Semaj Morgan · WR5 REC · 84 YDS+7.3
- Jalen Saint Paul · WR4 REC · 45 YDS+3.9
- Jaivian Thomas · RB9 CAR · 37 YDS−4.1
- Wayne Knight · RB13 CAR · 23 YDS · 1 TD · 3 REC · 6 REC YDS−8.0
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | WIS | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 214 | 384 |
| Plays | 49 | 71 |
| Yards / play | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| EPA / play | −0.08 | +0.03 |
| Success rate | 40% | 41% |
| Explosive plays | 4 | 8 |
| Havoc rate | 16% | 13% |
| 3rd down | 3–10 | 13–20 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.00 | 2.43 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 22:58 | 37:02 |
| Postgame WE | 23% | 77% |