

NEBNebraska
145-2 · 2-2 Big TenFINAL


OREOregon
174-2 · 2-1 Big TenNEB +6.5 COVERUNDER 50.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ORE 55%→POSTGAME WE ORE 56%
Autzen Stadium · 58,391- Postgame WE
- 56%ORE · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.27NEB −0.29
- Success rate
- 36%NEB 27%
- Turnovers
- 2–0≈ 7.8 pts swing
- vs model
- +3proj ORE by 2.1
- Plays · pace
- 141proj 141 · 25.5s
Win probability · full game
ORE LOW 18% · Q4 10:48 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.4Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Davison 2-yd run(00:38) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB04 (#1 J.Whittington), 1ST DOWNQ4 0:38 · 4th & 1 NEB 6 · +2.5 EPAQ4 0:38 · 4th & 1 NEB 6 · +2.5 EPA+.39 - 2

Raiola 4-yd TD to Johnson(00:28) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #9 J.Johnson caught at NEB00, for 4 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28 #83 H.Lewis pass attempt SuccessfulQ4 0:28 · 2nd & Goal · 9–14 → 17–14 · +1.8 EPAQ4 0:28 · 9–14 → 17–14 · +1.8 EPA+.23 - 3

Mozee 26-yd run(01:46) Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 26 yards gain to the ORE09 (#3 K.Perich; #7 I.Obidegwu), 1ST DOWNQ3 1:46 · 3rd & 15 ORE 35 · +4.4 EPAQ3 1:46 · 3rd & 15 ORE 35 · +4.4 EPA−.21 - 4

Raiola 4-yd pass to Lott(01:33) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #10 J.Lott caught at NEB29, for 4 yards to the NEB29 (#26 D.McDougle III), 1ST DOWNQ4 1:33 · 4th & 3 NEB 33 · +2.2 EPAQ4 1:33 · 4th & 3 NEB 33 · +2.2 EPA+.21 - 5

Colandrea 8-yd pass to Hunter(00:04) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #1 N.Hunter caught at ORE40, for 8 yards to the ORE40, End Of PlayQ4 0:04 · 2nd & 10 ORE 48 · −0.7 NEB EPAQ4 0:04 · 2nd & 10 ORE 48 · −0.7 NEB EPA+.15
Player EPA
Total · game

Caleb Benning · S2.5 TFL · FF · PBU · 12 TKL+6.4
Kwazi Gilmer · WR6 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD+5.6
Dakorien Moore · WR7 REC · 36 YDS−6.0
Anthony Colandrea · QB18/33 · 164 YDS · 1 TD · 1 INT · 38 RUSH YDS−9.5
Brock Thomas · QB9/20 · 54 YDS · 1 INT · 1 SACK−15.8

