

GASTGeorgia State
224-2 · 1-1 Sun BeltFINAL


JMUJames Madison
497-0 · 4-0 Sun BeltJMU −7.5 COVEROVER 57.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP JMU 72%→POSTGAME WE JMU 92%
Bridgeforth Stadium · 25,225- Postgame WE
- 92%JMU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.38GAST −0.10
- Success rate
- 46%GAST 46%
- Turnovers
- 1–2≈ 1.3 pts swing
- vs model
- +27proj JMU by 9.7
- Plays · pace
- 133proj 136 · 27.1s
Win probability · full game
JMU LOW 66% · Q1 14:52 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.8Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Coleman 9-yd run(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Coleman rush right for 9 yards gain to the JMU39 (#20 C.Owens), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ1 14:16 · 3rd & 5 JMU 30 · +2.4 EPAQ1 14:16 · 3rd & 5 JMU 30 · +2.4 EPA+.09 - 2

Pettaway 3-yd run(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 G.Pettaway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU03 (#15 T.Mittman)Q1 12:55 · 1st & Goal GAST 6 · +0.3 JMU EPAQ1 12:55 · 1st & Goal GAST 6 · +0.3 JMU EPA−.08 - 3

Coleman 20-yd TD to Scott(05:44) Shotgun #7 C.Coleman pass complete short middle to #17 M.Scott caught at GSU16, for 20 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:38, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 M.Dietzel)Q1 5:44 · 3rd & 6 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +3.6 EPAQ1 5:44 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +3.6 EPA+.07 - 4

Evans 2-yd TD run(11:31) Shotgun #1 J.Evans rush left for 2 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:28 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 M.Dietzel)Q1 11:31 · 3rd & Goal · 0–0 → 7–0 · +1.8 EPAQ1 11:31 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +1.8 EPA+.07 - 5

Holding on JMU(08:20) Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #10 D.Riles caught at JMU26, for 3 yards to the JMU26 (#14 K.Flowe) PENALTY JMU Holding (#45 L.Johnson) 10 yards from JMU29 to JMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYQ1 8:20 · 3rd & 3 JMU 29 · +1.4 EPAQ1 8:20 · 3rd & 3 JMU 29 · +1.4 EPA−.06
Player EPA
Total · game

Camden Coleman · QB13/19 · 185 YDS · 2 TD · 0 INT · 26 RUSH YDS+14.2
JC Evans · QB4/8 · 80 YDS · 1 TD · 21 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD+8.0
George Pettaway · RB14 CAR · 119 YDS · 1 TD+7.3
Cole Keller · TE2 REC · 54 YDS+5.6
Nick Herman · RB2 CAR · 12 YDS · FUM−6.9
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 373 | 515 |
| Plays | 66 | 68 |
| Yards / play | 5.7 | 7.6 |
| EPA / play | −0.10 | +0.38 |
| Success rate | 46% | 46% |
| Explosive plays | 7 | 14 |
| Havoc rate | 9% | 15% |
| 3rd down | 4–13 | 6–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.44 | 4.08 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 30:09 | 29:51 |
| Postgame WE | 8% | 92% |

