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FINAL · FOX · MEMORIAL STADIUM
OSUOhio State
196-1 · 4-0 Big Ten
19
FINAL
IUIndiana
156-1 · 3-1 Big Ten
15
OSU −3 COVERUNDER 49.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP OSU 53%→POSTGAME WE OSU 62%
Memorial Stadium · 54,532
Postgame WE
62%OSU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.02IU −0.08
Success rate
38%IU 35%
Turnovers
2–1≈ 4.3 pts swing
vs model
+4proj OSU by 1.4
Plays · pace
135proj 127 · 26.7s

Win probability · full game

OSU LOW 28% · Q2 7:06 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Ohio State
    Hoover incomplete to Marsh, turnover on downs
    (01:07) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to OSU00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q4 1:07 · 4th & 4 OSU 27 · turnover on downs · −2.3 IU EPA
    Q4 1:07 · 4th & 4 OSU 27 · −2.3 IU EPA
    +.28
  2. 2Ohio State
    Sayin 2-yd TD to Jackson
    (00:10) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at IND00, for 2 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)
    Q2 0:10 · 4th & Goal · 3–7 → 10–7 · +3.8 EPA
    Q2 0:10 · 3–7 → 10–7 · +3.8 EPA
    +.26
  3. 3Indiana
    Ferrell intercepts Sayin
    (14:09) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass intercepted by #1 A.Ferrell at OSU30 broken up by #22 J.Sharpe #1 A.Ferrell return 23 yards to the OSU07 (#88 M.LeBlanc)
    Q2 14:09 · 2nd & 16 OSU 16 · −4.9 OSU EPA
    Q2 14:09 · 2nd & 16 OSU 16 · −4.9 OSU EPA
    −.15
  4. 4Ohio State
    Hoover 19-yd pass to Chandler, fumble lost
    (14:27) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #4 D.Chandler caught at IND44, for 19 yards to the IND45 fumbled by #4 D.Chandler at IND44 forced by #25 J.Timmons recovered by OSU #1 E.Little Jr. at IND45, End Of Play
    Q3 14:27 · 2nd & 9 IU 26 · −3.1 IU EPA
    Q3 14:27 · 2nd & 9 IU 26 · −3.1 IU EPA
    +.14
  5. 5Ohio State
    Sayin 30-yd pass to Henry
    (02:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #15 C.Henry Jr. caught at IND31, for 30 yards to the IND23 (#4 A.Harris; #46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (#18 K.Wyatt) 12 yards from IND23 to IND11, 1ST DOWN
    Q2 2:00 · 2nd & 20 OSU 47 · +3.1 EPA
    Q2 2:00 · 2nd & 20 OSU 47 · +3.1 EPA
    +.14

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 135 plays