Mississippi State vs LSU

MSSTMississippi State

04-2 · 2-2 SEC

FINAL

LSULSU

315-2 · 2-2 SEC

LSU −17.5 COVERUNDER 56.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP LSU 70%→POSTGAME WE LSU 99%

Tiger Stadium · 102,321

Win probability · full game

LSU LOW 90% · Q1 14:52 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.5

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Puckett run, −6
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 P.Puckett rush middle for 6 yards loss to the LSU37 (#29 J.Ross; #97 D.Carpenter), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q2 9:15 · 4th & 1 LSU 31 · turnover on downs · −4.0 MSST EPA
Q2 9:15 · 4th & 1 LSU 31 · −4.0 MSST EPA
+.01
2
Leavitt 27-yd TD to Harris
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #4 J.Harris caught at MSU24, for 27 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:27, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #39 M.Mulhern)
Q1 3:38 · 2nd & 8 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +3.4 EPA
Q1 3:38 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +3.4 EPA
+.01
3
Jones 11-yd run
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MSU16 (#43 W.Whitson; #15 M.Williams), 1ST DOWN
Q1 10:23 · 2nd & 1 MSST 27 · +0.8 EPA
Q1 10:23 · 2nd & 1 MSST 27 · +0.8 EPA
+.01
4
Leavitt 17-yd TD to Harris
Jackson Harris 17 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Scott Starzyk Kick)
Q2 6:12 · 2nd & 12 · 14–0 → 21–0 · +3.0 EPA
Q2 6:12 · 14–0 → 21–0 · +3.0 EPA
+.01
5
Wilson run, −1
(14:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU29 (#90 S.Green; #1 P.Umanmielen)
Q1 14:40 · 2nd & 5 MSST 30 · −1.4 MSST EPA
Q1 14:40 · 2nd & 5 MSST 30 · −1.4 MSST EPA
+.01

Total · game