

KUKansas
242-4 · 0-3 Big 12FINAL


KSUKansas State
354-2 · 1-2 Big 12KSU −3 COVEROVER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP KSU 53%→POSTGAME WE KSU 57%
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · 51,961- Postgame WE
- 57%KSU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.22KU +0.03
- Success rate
- 48%KU 35%
- Turnovers
- 1–1≈ 1.9 pts swing
- vs model
- +11proj KSU by 1.1
- Plays · pace
- 131proj 140 · 27.5s
Win probability · full game
KSU LOW 27% · Q2 11:41 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.8Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Bartley intercepts Marshall(10:02) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass intercepted by #10 L.Bartley at KSTATE00 QB hurried by #1 W.Gregory #10 L.Bartley return 16 yards to the KSTATE16 (#44 C.Bruhn)Q4 10:02 · 2nd & 5 KSU 18 · −5.1 KU EPAQ4 10:02 · 2nd & 5 KSU 18 · −5.1 KU EPA+.25 - 2

Jackson run, no gain(14:57) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN01 (#99 E.Smalls), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDQ4 14:57 · 4th & Goal KU 1 · turnover on downs · −3.1 KSU EPAQ4 14:57 · 4th & Goal KU 1 · −3.1 KSU EPA−.15 - 3

Jackson 64-yd run(09:52) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 64 yards gain to the KAN20 (#27 T.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ4 9:52 · 1st & 10 KSU 16 · +4.1 EPAQ4 9:52 · 1st & 10 KSU 16 · +4.1 EPA+.15 - 4

Rodriguez 28-yd FG good(00:26) #43 L.Rodriguez field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson), clock 00:24Q2 0:26 · 4th & 5 · 15–17 → 18–17 · +0.3 EPAQ2 0:26 · 15–17 → 18–17 · +0.3 EPA+.13 - 5

Pass Interference on KSTATE(13:48) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete deep right to #0 N.Cox thrown to KAN40 PENALTY KSTATE Pass Interference (#9 D.McIntosh) 15 yards from KAN02 to KAN17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYQ4 13:48 · 3rd & 9 KU 2 · +3.3 EPAQ4 13:48 · 3rd & 9 KU 2 · +3.3 EPA−.12
Player EPA
Total · game

Avery Johnson · QB14/24 · 209 YDS · 1 TD · 132 RUSH YDS · 1 SACK+11.3
Rodney Fields Jr. · RB8 CAR · 66 YDS · 1 TD · 1 REC · 15 REC YDS+6.1
Nik McMillan · WR5 REC · 55 YDS · 1 TD+5.6
Logan Bartley · S1 TFL · INT · 7 TKL+5.1
Jaron Tibbs · WR5 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD+4.7
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 319 | 568 |
| Plays | 60 | 75 |
| Yards / play | 5.3 | 7.6 |
| EPA / play | +0.03 | +0.22 |
| Success rate | 35% | 48% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 11 |
| Havoc rate | 10% | 22% |
| 3rd down | 3–11 | 6–13 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.55 | 2.75 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 23:47 | 36:13 |
| Postgame WE | 43% | 57% |

