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FINAL · BTN · SECU STADIUM
RUTGRutgers
372-4 · 1-2 Big Ten
37
FINAL
MDMaryland
302-5 · 0-4 Big Ten
30
RUTG +5.5 COVEROVER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP RUTG 29%→POSTGAME WE RUTG 79%
SECU Stadium · 39,326
Postgame WE
79%RUTG · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.31MD +0.21
Success rate
49%MD 44%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 2.0 pts swing
vs model
−7proj MD by 9.1
Plays · pace
136proj 133 · 26.5s

Win probability · full game

RUTG LOW 10% · Q3 9:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.4

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Maryland
    Washington 3-yd TD to Fleming
    (10:49) #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #9 D.Fleming caught at RUT00, for 3 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:46 #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #97 L.O'Hare)
    Q2 10:49 · 2nd & Goal · 7–7 → 7–14 · +1.3 EPA
    Q2 10:49 · 7–7 → 7–14 · +1.3 EPA
    −.15
  2. 2Maryland
    Washington 16-yd pass to Durr
    (01:03) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #13 C.Durr Jr. caught at RUT29, for 16 yards to the RUT29 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 1:03 · 3rd & 10 RUTG 45 · +2.0 EPA
    Q4 1:03 · 3rd & 10 RUTG 45 · +2.0 EPA
    −.15
  3. 3Rutgers
    Lonergan 19-yd TD to Thevenin
    (04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #9 C.Thevenin caught at UMD00, for 19 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
    Q3 4:05 · 2nd & 10 · 16–23 → 23–23 · +3.0 EPA
    Q3 4:05 · 16–23 → 23–23 · +3.0 EPA
    +.12
  4. 4Maryland
    Anderson 37-yd punt
    (01:58) #94 J.Anderson punt 37 yards to the UMD34, out of bounds at UMD34
    Q4 1:58 · 4th & 6 RUTG 29 · −0.4 RUTG EPA
    Q4 1:58 · 4th & 6 RUTG 29 · −0.4 RUTG EPA
    −.11
  5. 5Rutgers
    Washington incomplete to Fleming, turnover on downs
    (00:19) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Fleming thrown to RUT00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELD
    Q4 0:19 · 4th & 3 RUTG 11 · turnover on downs · −2.6 MD EPA
    Q4 0:19 · 4th & 3 RUTG 11 · −2.6 MD EPA
    +.11

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 136 plays