RUTGRutgers
372-4 · 1-2 Big TenFINAL
MDMaryland
302-5 · 0-4 Big TenRUTG +5.5 COVEROVER 55.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP RUTG 29%→POSTGAME WE RUTG 79%
SECU Stadium · 39,326- Postgame WE
- 79%RUTG · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.31MD +0.21
- Success rate
- 49%MD 44%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 2.0 pts swing
- vs model
- −7proj MD by 9.1
- Plays · pace
- 136proj 133 · 26.5s
Win probability · full game
RUTG LOW 10% · Q3 9:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.4Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Washington 3-yd TD to Fleming(10:49) #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #9 D.Fleming caught at RUT00, for 3 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:46 #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #97 L.O'Hare)Q2 10:49 · 2nd & Goal · 7–7 → 7–14 · +1.3 EPAQ2 10:49 · 7–7 → 7–14 · +1.3 EPA−.15 - 2Washington 16-yd pass to Durr(01:03) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #13 C.Durr Jr. caught at RUT29, for 16 yards to the RUT29 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNQ4 1:03 · 3rd & 10 RUTG 45 · +2.0 EPAQ4 1:03 · 3rd & 10 RUTG 45 · +2.0 EPA−.15
- 3
Lonergan 19-yd TD to Thevenin(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #9 C.Thevenin caught at UMD00, for 19 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Q3 4:05 · 2nd & 10 · 16–23 → 23–23 · +3.0 EPAQ3 4:05 · 16–23 → 23–23 · +3.0 EPA+.12 - 4Anderson 37-yd punt(01:58) #94 J.Anderson punt 37 yards to the UMD34, out of bounds at UMD34Q4 1:58 · 4th & 6 RUTG 29 · −0.4 RUTG EPAQ4 1:58 · 4th & 6 RUTG 29 · −0.4 RUTG EPA−.11
- 5Washington incomplete to Fleming, turnover on downs(00:19) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Fleming thrown to RUT00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDQ4 0:19 · 4th & 3 RUTG 11 · turnover on downs · −2.6 MD EPAQ4 0:19 · 4th & 3 RUTG 11 · −2.6 MD EPA+.11
Player EPA
Total · game
- Dylan Lonergan · QB23/35 · 291 YDS · 3 TD · 1 INT · FUM+18.4
- Clay Thevenin · RB17 CAR · 109 YDS · 1 TD · 2 REC · 24 REC YDS+11.7
- Malik Washington · QB19/38 · 263 YDS · 2 TD · 56 RUSH YDS · 1 SACK+10.6
- KJ Duff · WR9 REC · 113 YDS · 2 TD+8.8
- Dyzier Carter · WR6 REC · 88 YDS+7.0
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 442 | 378 |
| Plays | 74 | 64 |
| Yards / play | 6.0 | 5.9 |
| EPA / play | +0.31 | +0.21 |
| Success rate | 49% | 44% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 11 |
| Havoc rate | 18% | 12% |
| 3rd down | 9–14 | 4–13 |
| Pts / opportunity | 4.63 | 2.80 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 24:34 | 22:00 |
| Postgame WE | 79% | 21% |