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FINAL · SECN+ · KYLE FIELD
CITThe Citadel
01-1 · 0-0 Southern
0
FINAL
TAMUTexas A&M
414-3 · 1-3 SEC
41
CIT +46.5 COVERUNDER 56.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP TAMU 91%→POSTGAME WE TAMU 100%
Kyle Field · 101,052
Postgame WE
100%TAMU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.47CIT −0.21
Success rate
59%CIT 34%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+41proj TAMU by 22.2
Plays · pace
121proj 133 · 29.8s

Win probability · full game

TAMU LOW 100% · Q1 14:52 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 1.9

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Texas A&M
    Weil 32-yd punt
    (12:58) #1 J.Weil punt 32 yards to the A&M38, out of bounds at A&M38
    Q1 12:58 · 4th & 5 CIT 30 · 0.0 CIT EPA
    Q1 12:58 · 4th & 5 CIT 30 · 0.0 CIT EPA
    +.00
  2. 2Texas A&M
    Hayes incomplete to Boyle, turnover on downs
    (02:33) #7 Q.Hayes pass incomplete short right to #44 S.Boyle thrown to A&M40, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
    Q1 2:33 · 4th & 1 TAMU 45 · turnover on downs · −3.8 CIT EPA
    Q1 2:33 · 4th & 1 TAMU 45 · −3.8 CIT EPA
    +.00
  3. 3The Citadel
    Morrow 4-yd TD run
    (09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Morrow rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #37 T.White, LS: #31 S.Freibaum)
    Q1 9:00 · 3rd & Goal · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.6 TAMU EPA
    Q1 9:00 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +2.6 TAMU EPA
    −.00
  4. 4Texas A&M
    Murray 1-yd run
    (00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Murray rush middle for 1 yard gain to the A&M32 (#94 T.Wells Jr.)
    Q4 0:17 · 3rd & 8 TAMU 31 · −0.1 EPA
    Q4 0:17 · 3rd & 8 TAMU 31 · −0.1 EPA
    +.00
  5. 5The Citadel
    Garcia 5-yd run
    (05:35) Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 5 yards gain to the CIT46 (#54 J.Lockhart; #16 B.Perry-Wright), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 5:35 · 3rd & 5 CIT 41 · +1.8 EPA
    Q1 5:35 · 3rd & 5 CIT 41 · +1.8 EPA
    −.00

Player EPA

Total · game