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FINAL · ESPN+ · LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD
CLTCharlotte
381-6 · 1-2 American
38
FINAL
TEMTemple
312-5 · 1-2 American
31
CLT +17.5 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CLT 20%→POSTGAME WE CLT 64%
Lincoln Financial Field · 11,589
Postgame WE
64%CLT · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.24TEM +0.21
Success rate
48%TEM 44%
Turnovers
1–0≈ 6.3 pts swing
vs model
−7proj TEM by 14.0
Plays · pace
128proj 114 · 28.1s

Win probability · full game

CLT LOW 4% · Q2 1:10 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Temple
    Sheppard 46-yd pass to Clarke
    (12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep right to #0 P.Clarke caught at CLT39, for 46 yards to the CLT19 (#12 C.Clinkscales; #16 S.McIntosh), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 12:44 · 3rd & 7 TEM 35 · +4.3 EPA
    Q4 12:44 · 3rd & 7 TEM 35 · +4.3 EPA
    −.24
  2. 2Charlotte
    Harrell 21-yd pass to Barnes
    (09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at TEM39, for 21 yards to the TEM34 (#21 A.Locks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
    Q4 9:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 45 · +1.4 EPA
    Q4 9:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 45 · +1.4 EPA
    +.16
  3. 3Charlotte
    Rutledge 48-yd run
    (00:43) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 48 yards gain to the TEM21 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 0:43 · 3rd & 1 CLT 31 · +3.5 EPA
    Q3 0:43 · 3rd & 1 CLT 31 · +3.5 EPA
    +.13
  4. 4Charlotte
    Harrell 10-yd TD run
    (08:38) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell rush right for 10 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:40, 1ST DOWN #84 A.Bui kick attempt good (H: #44 I.Kelly, LS: #33 H.Searcy)
    Q4 8:38 · 1st & Goal · 28–28 → 35–28 · +2.2 EPA
    Q4 8:38 · 28–28 → 35–28 · +2.2 EPA
    +.13
  5. 5Temple
    Mason 16-yd run
    (07:48) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 16 yards gain to the CLT41 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 7:48 · 2nd & 10 TEM 43 · +1.9 EPA
    Q4 7:48 · 2nd & 10 TEM 43 · +1.9 EPA
    −.11

Player EPA

Total · game