

CLTCharlotte
381-6 · 1-2 AmericanFINAL


TEMTemple
312-5 · 1-2 AmericanCLT +17.5 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CLT 20%→POSTGAME WE CLT 64%
Lincoln Financial Field · 11,589- Postgame WE
- 64%CLT · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.24TEM +0.21
- Success rate
- 48%TEM 44%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 6.3 pts swing
- vs model
- −7proj TEM by 14.0
- Plays · pace
- 128proj 114 · 28.1s
Win probability · full game
CLT LOW 4% · Q2 1:10 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Sheppard 46-yd pass to Clarke(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep right to #0 P.Clarke caught at CLT39, for 46 yards to the CLT19 (#12 C.Clinkscales; #16 S.McIntosh), 1ST DOWNQ4 12:44 · 3rd & 7 TEM 35 · +4.3 EPAQ4 12:44 · 3rd & 7 TEM 35 · +4.3 EPA−.24 - 2

Harrell 21-yd pass to Barnes(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at TEM39, for 21 yards to the TEM34 (#21 A.Locks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNQ4 9:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 45 · +1.4 EPAQ4 9:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 45 · +1.4 EPA+.16 - 3

Rutledge 48-yd run(00:43) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 48 yards gain to the TEM21 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNQ3 0:43 · 3rd & 1 CLT 31 · +3.5 EPAQ3 0:43 · 3rd & 1 CLT 31 · +3.5 EPA+.13 - 4

Harrell 10-yd TD run(08:38) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell rush right for 10 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:40, 1ST DOWN #84 A.Bui kick attempt good (H: #44 I.Kelly, LS: #33 H.Searcy)Q4 8:38 · 1st & Goal · 28–28 → 35–28 · +2.2 EPAQ4 8:38 · 28–28 → 35–28 · +2.2 EPA+.13 - 5

Mason 16-yd run(07:48) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 16 yards gain to the CLT41 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWNQ4 7:48 · 2nd & 10 TEM 43 · +1.9 EPAQ4 7:48 · 2nd & 10 TEM 43 · +1.9 EPA−.11
Player EPA
Total · game

Conner Harrell · QB23/31 · 281 YDS · 2 TD · 22 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD+15.5
Peter Clarke · TE5 REC · 127 YDS · 1 TD+11.4
Ajani Sheppard · QB15/23 · 236 YDS · 1 TD · 70 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD+8.5
Derrick Eley · WR6 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD+7.5
Colin Chase · WR6 REC · 74 YDS · 41 RUSH YDS+6.7
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 449 | 455 |
| Plays | 69 | 61 |
| Yards / play | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| EPA / play | +0.24 | +0.21 |
| Success rate | 48% | 44% |
| Explosive plays | 10 | 14 |
| Havoc rate | 15% | 8% |
| 3rd down | 6–10 | 6–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 3.45 | 3.44 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 32:49 | 27:11 |
| Postgame WE | 64% | 36% |

