Toledo vs Eastern Michigan

TOLToledo

345-2 · 2-1 MAC

FINAL

EMUEastern Michigan

144-4 · 3-1 MAC

TOL −7.5 COVERUNDER 51.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP TOL 76%→POSTGAME WE TOL 85%

Rynearson Stadium · 10,373

Win probability · full game

TOL LOW 64% · Q1 12:24 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.8

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Richter 28-yd TD to Dabbs
(07:52) No Huddle #6 J.Richter pass complete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at EMU00, for 28 yards to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:50, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)
Q1 7:52 · 2nd & 6 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.1 EPA
Q1 7:52 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.1 EPA
+.08
2
Kim incomplete to Prosper, turnover on downs
(10:58) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #3 B.Prosper thrown to TOL28 QB hurried by #52 L.Lambert-Pipkin and #0 A.Zock, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q1 10:58 · 4th & 4 TOL 35 · −2.6 EMU EPA
Q1 10:58 · 4th & 4 TOL 35 · −2.6 EMU EPA
+.07
3
Kim 5-yd pass to Mack
(14:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at EMU29, for 5 yards to the EMU30 QB hurried by #0 A.Zock (#44 I.Zay)
Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 EMU 25 · +0.3 EPA
Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 EMU 25 · +0.3 EPA
−.05
4
Griffith 30-yd FG good
(06:24) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 06:21
Q1 6:24 · 4th & 8 · 7–0 → 10–0 · +0.6 TOL EPA
Q1 6:24 · 7–0 → 10–0 · +0.6 TOL EPA
−.04
5
Kim 15-yd pass to Long
(13:12) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #9 J.Long caught at TOL44, for 15 yards to the TOL41 (#44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWN
Q1 13:12 · 3rd & 7 EMU 44 · +2.6 EPA
Q1 13:12 · 3rd & 7 EMU 44 · +2.6 EPA
−.04

Total · game