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FINAL · ESPN · SANFORD STADIUM
AUBAuburn
274-2 · 2-2 SEC
27
FINAL
UGAGeorgia
246-1 · 4-1 SEC
24
AUB +19.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP AUB 15%→POSTGAME WE AUB 58%
Sanford Stadium · 93,033
Postgame WE
58%AUB · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.10UGA +0.10
Success rate
38%UGA 52%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 8.5 pts swing
vs model
−3proj UGA by 17.3
Plays · pace
139proj 127 · 25.9s

Win probability · full game

AUB LOW 3% · Q1 6:11 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.1

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Auburn
    McPherson 34-yd FG good
    Alex McPherson 34 Yd Field Goal
    Q4 0:00 · 2nd & 7 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +1.1 EPA
    Q4 0:00 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +1.1 EPA
    +.39
  2. 2Auburn
    Stockton fumble, AUB recovers
    (01:04) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB44 fumbled by #14 G.Stockton at AUB48 forced by #94 C.Sigler recovered by AUB #0 S.Smith-Reed at AUB44, End Of Play
    Q4 1:04 · 1st & 10 AUB 46 · −3.1 UGA EPA
    Q4 1:04 · 1st & 10 AUB 46 · −3.1 UGA EPA
    +.37
  3. 3Auburn
    Brown 7-yd pass to Nimrod
    (02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB29, for 7 yards to the AUB29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
    Q4 2:00 · 3rd & 5 AUB 22 · +1.0 EPA
    Q4 2:00 · 3rd & 5 AUB 22 · +1.0 EPA
    +.23
  4. 4Georgia
    Griffin sacks Brown, −1
    (01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown sacked for loss of 1 yard to the AUB28 (#90 E.Griffin)
    Q4 1:30 · 2nd & 10 AUB 29 · −0.9 AUB EPA
    Q4 1:30 · 2nd & 10 AUB 29 · −0.9 AUB EPA
    −.16
  5. 5Georgia
    Stockton 20-yd run
    (03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 20 yards gain to the AUB04 (#4 R.Pleasant), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 3:48 · 2nd & 6 AUB 24 · +2.0 EPA
    Q4 3:48 · 2nd & 6 AUB 24 · +2.0 EPA
    −.14

Player EPA

Total · game