

AUBAuburn
274-2 · 2-2 SECFINAL


UGAGeorgia
246-1 · 4-1 SECAUB +19.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP AUB 15%→POSTGAME WE AUB 58%
Sanford Stadium · 93,033- Postgame WE
- 58%AUB · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.10UGA +0.10
- Success rate
- 38%UGA 52%
- Turnovers
- 0–2≈ 8.5 pts swing
- vs model
- −3proj UGA by 17.3
- Plays · pace
- 139proj 127 · 25.9s
Win probability · full game
AUB LOW 3% · Q1 6:11 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

McPherson 34-yd FG goodAlex McPherson 34 Yd Field GoalQ4 0:00 · 2nd & 7 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +1.1 EPAQ4 0:00 · 24–24 → 27–24 · +1.1 EPA+.39 - 2

Stockton fumble, AUB recovers(01:04) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB44 fumbled by #14 G.Stockton at AUB48 forced by #94 C.Sigler recovered by AUB #0 S.Smith-Reed at AUB44, End Of PlayQ4 1:04 · 1st & 10 AUB 46 · −3.1 UGA EPAQ4 1:04 · 1st & 10 AUB 46 · −3.1 UGA EPA+.37 - 3

Brown 7-yd pass to Nimrod(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB29, for 7 yards to the AUB29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNQ4 2:00 · 3rd & 5 AUB 22 · +1.0 EPAQ4 2:00 · 3rd & 5 AUB 22 · +1.0 EPA+.23 - 4

Griffin sacks Brown, −1(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown sacked for loss of 1 yard to the AUB28 (#90 E.Griffin)Q4 1:30 · 2nd & 10 AUB 29 · −0.9 AUB EPAQ4 1:30 · 2nd & 10 AUB 29 · −0.9 AUB EPA−.16 - 5

Stockton 20-yd run(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 20 yards gain to the AUB04 (#4 R.Pleasant), 1ST DOWNQ4 3:48 · 2nd & 6 AUB 24 · +2.0 EPAQ4 3:48 · 2nd & 6 AUB 24 · +2.0 EPA−.14
Player EPA
Total · game

Byrum Brown · QB15/26 · 150 YDS · 1 TD · 115 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+8.4
Elijah Melendez · LB1 SACK · 1 TFL · INT · PBU · 9 TKL+7.7
Talyn Taylor · WR4 REC · 64 YDS+6.1
Chas Nimrod · WR6 REC · 60 YDS · 1 TD+5.3
Lawson Luckie · TE3 REC · 41 YDS · 1 TD+4.4
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 366 | 440 |
| Plays | 74 | 65 |
| Yards / play | 4.9 | 6.8 |
| EPA / play | +0.10 | +0.10 |
| Success rate | 38% | 52% |
| Explosive plays | 9 | 11 |
| Havoc rate | 14% | 14% |
| 3rd down | 6–16 | 6–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Time of possession | 29:33 | 30:27 |
| Postgame WE | 58% | 42% |

