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FINAL · CW · WAR MEMORIAL STADIUM
NIUNorthern Illinois
230-6 · 0-2 Mountain West
23
FINAL
WYOWyoming
414-3 · 3-1 Mountain West
41
WYO −7 COVEROVER 42.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP WYO 68%→POSTGAME WE WYO 86%
War Memorial Stadium · 20,065
Postgame WE
86%WYO · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.46NIU +0.14
Success rate
60%NIU 36%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+18proj WYO by 7.6
Plays · pace
131proj 119 · 27.5s

Win probability · full game

WYO LOW 66% · Q1 15:00 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Wyoming
    Hughes 53-yd TD run
    Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 53 yards gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)
    Q1 5:39 · 1st & 10 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +4.6 EPA
    Q1 5:39 · 3–0 → 10–0 · +4.6 EPA
    +.09
  2. 2Wyoming
    Hughes 13-yd pass to Frendt
    Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #83 K.Frendt caught at WYO41, for 13 yards to the WYO41, out of bounds at WYO41, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 15:00 · 3rd & 7 WYO 28 · +3.1 EPA
    Q1 15:00 · 3rd & 7 WYO 28 · +3.1 EPA
    +.08
  3. 3Wyoming
    Personal Foul on NIU
    Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #0 L.Bryant caught at NIU39, for 9 yards to the NIU41 (#9 D.Miller) PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU32 to NIU17. NO PLAY
    Q1 9:20 · 3rd & 3 NIU 32 · −1.5 NIU EPA
    Q1 9:20 · 3rd & 3 NIU 32 · −1.5 NIU EPA
    +.05
  4. 4Wyoming
    Hughes 18-yd pass to Richardson
    Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #2 E.Richardson caught at NIU44, for 18 yards to the NIU24 (#5 Y.Falke; #30 A.Ellis), 1ST DOWN
    Q2 11:33 · 2nd & 4 NIU 42 · +1.1 EPA
    Q2 11:33 · 2nd & 4 NIU 42 · +1.1 EPA
    +.05
  5. 5Northern Illinois
    Johnson 13-yd TD run
    Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 13 yards gain to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELD #9 G.Dimopoulos rush attempt Successful
    Q3 3:58 · 1st & Goal · 27–9 → 27–17 · +2.3 EPA
    Q3 3:58 · 27–9 → 27–17 · +2.3 EPA
    −.04

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 131 plays