Missouri vs Ole Miss

MIZMissouri

35-2 · 2-2 SEC

FINAL

MISSOle Miss

315-1 · 3-1 SEC

MISS −4 COVERUNDER 57.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP MISS 48%→POSTGAME WE MISS 95%

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · 67,510

Win probability · full game

MISS LOW 52% · Q1 9:59 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.3

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Simmons 15-yd pass to Olugbode
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #1 D.Olugbode caught at MIZ43, for 15 yards to the MIZ45 (#8 A.Kite), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Q1 5:03 · 3rd & 5 MIZ 30 · +3.1 EPA
Q1 5:03 · 3rd & 5 MIZ 30 · +3.1 EPA
−.12
2
Simmons 17-yd pass to Olugbode
(12:38) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #1 D.Olugbode caught at MIZ20, for 17 yards to the MIZ28 (#8 A.Kite; #11 K.Thomas), 1ST DOWN
Q1 12:38 · 1st & 15 MIZ 11 · +2.0 EPA
Q1 12:38 · 1st & 15 MIZ 11 · +2.0 EPA
−.09
3
Simmons 43-yd pass to Lee
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #19 C.Lee caught at MIZ49, for 43 yards to the OM18 (#8 A.Kite), 1ST DOWN
Q2 8:47 · 3rd & 13 MIZ 39 · +5.0 EPA
Q2 8:47 · 3rd & 13 MIZ 39 · +5.0 EPA
−.08
4
Simmons incomplete to Olugbode
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep middle to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to OM11
Q1 3:20 · 3rd & 6 MIZ 49 · −1.8 MIZ EPA
Q1 3:20 · 3rd & 6 MIZ 49 · −1.8 MIZ EPA
+.08
5
Bird 45-yd punt
(12:42) #33 O.Bird punt 45 yards to the MIZ16, out of bounds at MIZ16
Q1 12:42 · 4th & 6 MISS 39 · +0.8 EPA
Q1 12:42 · 4th & 6 MISS 39 · +0.8 EPA
+.07

Total · game