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FINAL · FOX · JONES AT&T STADIUM
ASUArizona State
253-3 · 1-2 Big 12
25
FINAL
TTUTexas Tech
536-0 · 3-0 Big 12
53
TTU −16.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP TTU 81%→POSTGAME WE TTU 94%
Jones AT&T Stadium · 60,229
Postgame WE
94%TTU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.35ASU −0.08
Success rate
56%ASU 43%
Turnovers
1–2≈ 5.3 pts swing
vs model
+28proj TTU by 14.6
Plays · pace
136proj 133 · 26.5s

Win probability · full game

TTU LOW 87% · Q1 8:24 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Texas Tech
    Roberts 24-yd pick-six off Boley
    (07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass intercepted by #13 B.Roberts at ASU24 #13 B.Roberts return 24 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)
    Q1 7:52 · 1st & 10 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −7.8 ASU EPA
    Q1 7:52 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −7.8 ASU EPA
    +.06
  2. 2Arizona State
    Gillis 3-yd run
    (09:03) #6 M.Gillis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU05 (#10 A.Holmes Jr.; #1 J.Laventure)
    Q1 9:03 · 1st & 10 ASU 2 · −0.3 EPA
    Q1 9:03 · 1st & 10 ASU 2 · −0.3 EPA
    −.04
  3. 3Arizona State
    Williams fumble, ASU recovers
    (09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU02 fumbled by #20 J.Williams at ASU02 forced by #23 J.McGrew recovered by ASU #0 R.Bimage Jr. at ASU02, End Of Play
    Q1 9:06 · 1st & Goal ASU 8 · −5.0 TTU EPA
    Q1 9:06 · 1st & Goal ASU 8 · −5.0 TTU EPA
    −.03
  4. 4Arizona State
    Boley 74-yd TD to Vines-Bright
    (02:28) No Huddle #8 C.Boley pass complete deep right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at TTU30, for 74 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)
    Q1 2:28 · 2nd & 9 · 21–0 → 21–7 · +7.2 EPA
    Q1 2:28 · 21–0 → 21–7 · +7.2 EPA
    −.03
  5. 5Texas Tech
    Hammond 4-yd run
    (13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU38 (#1 A.Stamps), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 13:17 · 4th & 1 TTU 34 · +2.5 EPA
    Q1 13:17 · 4th & 1 TTU 34 · +2.5 EPA
    +.02

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Arizona State at Texas Tech
StatASUTTU
Total yards415502
Plays7264
Yards / play5.87.8
EPA / play−0.08+0.35
Success rate43%56%
Explosive plays910
Havoc rate14%24%
3rd down5–144–11
Pts / opportunity2.273.55
Turnovers21
Time of possession32:3327:27
Postgame WE7%94%