

ASUArizona State
253-3 · 1-2 Big 12FINAL


TTUTexas Tech
536-0 · 3-0 Big 12TTU −16.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP TTU 81%→POSTGAME WE TTU 94%
Jones AT&T Stadium · 60,229- Postgame WE
- 94%TTU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.35ASU −0.08
- Success rate
- 56%ASU 43%
- Turnovers
- 1–2≈ 5.3 pts swing
- vs model
- +28proj TTU by 14.6
- Plays · pace
- 136proj 133 · 26.5s
Win probability · full game
TTU LOW 87% · Q1 8:24 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Roberts 24-yd pick-six off Boley(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass intercepted by #13 B.Roberts at ASU24 #13 B.Roberts return 24 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Q1 7:52 · 1st & 10 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −7.8 ASU EPAQ1 7:52 · 0–0 → 7–0 · −7.8 ASU EPA+.06 - 2

Gillis 3-yd run(09:03) #6 M.Gillis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU05 (#10 A.Holmes Jr.; #1 J.Laventure)Q1 9:03 · 1st & 10 ASU 2 · −0.3 EPAQ1 9:03 · 1st & 10 ASU 2 · −0.3 EPA−.04 - 3

Williams fumble, ASU recovers(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU02 fumbled by #20 J.Williams at ASU02 forced by #23 J.McGrew recovered by ASU #0 R.Bimage Jr. at ASU02, End Of PlayQ1 9:06 · 1st & Goal ASU 8 · −5.0 TTU EPAQ1 9:06 · 1st & Goal ASU 8 · −5.0 TTU EPA−.03 - 4

Boley 74-yd TD to Vines-Bright(02:28) No Huddle #8 C.Boley pass complete deep right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at TTU30, for 74 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #32 C.Smith kick attempt good (H: #31 K.Floyd, LS: #43 G.Curtis)Q1 2:28 · 2nd & 9 · 21–0 → 21–7 · +7.2 EPAQ1 2:28 · 21–0 → 21–7 · +7.2 EPA−.03 - 5

Hammond 4-yd run(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU38 (#1 A.Stamps), 1ST DOWNQ1 13:17 · 4th & 1 TTU 34 · +2.5 EPAQ1 13:17 · 4th & 1 TTU 34 · +2.5 EPA+.02
Player EPA
Total · game

Will Hammond · QB18/26 · 232 YDS · 1 TD · 25 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD+15.2
Kenny Johnson · WR7 REC · 120 YDS+9.4
Ben Roberts · LB1 TFL · INT · 5 TKL+7.8
J'Koby Williams · RB11 CAR · 165 YDS · 2 TD · 2 REC · 8 REC YDS+7.4
Cutter Boley · QB5/10 · 124 YDS · 1 TD · 2 INT · 2 SACKS−8.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 415 | 502 |
| Plays | 72 | 64 |
| Yards / play | 5.8 | 7.8 |
| EPA / play | −0.08 | +0.35 |
| Success rate | 43% | 56% |
| Explosive plays | 9 | 10 |
| Havoc rate | 14% | 24% |
| 3rd down | 5–14 | 4–11 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.27 | 3.55 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 32:33 | 27:27 |
| Postgame WE | 7% | 94% |

